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cover of episode Robert Reich on President Trump

Robert Reich on President Trump

2025/2/21
logo of podcast Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Robert Reich: 我认为，克林顿政府最开始的关注点是降低预算赤字，而不是对人力资本、教育、医疗保健和基础设施进行投资。虽然我们成功地平衡了预算并实现了盈余，但这同时也创造了一种框架，即预算赤字非常重要，以至于盈余很难用于除偿还债务以外的任何用途。 我认为拜登政府的经济政策在经济方面非常成功，实现了经济的软着陆，并避免了大量的人类苦难。然而，拜登政府在沟通方面存在问题，未能有效地向民众解释其经济政策，导致民众对经济形势的感知与实际情况脱节。 我认为，自90年代初以来，美国就出现了民众对体制不满的苗头，这与北美自由贸易协定（NAFTA）、中国加入世界贸易组织以及金融放松管制等因素有关。2008年金融危机加剧了这种不满情绪，为特朗普的崛起创造了条件。 特朗普政府的政策对美国民主和资本主义构成了威胁。他试图将权力集中在行政部门，无视国会和法院。他的关税和驱逐政策将导致严重的通货膨胀，并损害美国经济和全球经济。 许多商业领袖私下里对特朗普的政策表示担忧，但由于害怕遭到报复而保持沉默。我认为，商业领袖应该有勇气说出自己的想法，反对特朗普的政策。 如果政府机构保持稳定，美国经济将面临增长放缓、通货膨胀加剧和失业率上升的风险。如果政府机构不稳定，则美国经济面临更大的风险。 我认为，当前的经济和政治形势与19世纪末20世纪初的镀金时代相似，可能导致类似的结果。 如果股市对特朗普政府的政策做出负面反应，特朗普可能会改变政策，而民主党可能会在2026年中期选举中获胜。 Mark Zandi: (对Reich观点的回应和补充，以及对美国经济现状的分析) Cris deRitis: (对Reich观点的回应和补充，以及对美国经济现状的分析) Marisa DiNatale: (对Reich观点的回应和补充，以及对美国经济现状的分析)

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Robert Reich shares anecdotes from his life, including his Scranton upbringing, his time at Yale Law School with prominent figures like Bill and Hillary Clinton, and Clarence Thomas, and his legal and economic expertise.
  • Robert Reich's upbringing in Scranton, PA
  • His time at Yale Law School with Bill and Hillary Clinton, and Clarence Thomas
  • His legal and economic background
  • His work for Robert Bork

Shownotes Transcript

Robert Reich, UC Berkley professor and former Labor Secretary under President Clinton, joins the Inside Economics podcast to take a retrospective look at economic policies extending back to Clinton that ultimately contributed to President Trump’s election, and a prospective look at where the president is taking policy and what it means for democracy and the economy. His advice: batten down the hatches and buckle up

Guest: Robert Reich, Professor at UC Berkley and former U.S. Secretary of Labor

To keep up to date with Robert Reich: https://robertreich.substack.com/)

To learn more about Robert Reich's nonprofit: https://www.inequalitymedia.org/) and https://www.imcivicaction.org/)

Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s Analytics

Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn