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cover of episode How to Plan for Inevitable Disaster

How to Plan for Inevitable Disaster

2024/12/18
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Brooke Gladstone
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Nathaniel Rich
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Brooke Gladstone:气候变化日益严峻,但许多美国人并未做好充分的心理和物质准备。新奥尔良在应对自然灾害方面积累的经验值得借鉴。 Nathaniel Rich:新奥尔良居民对气候变化和飓风风险有清醒的认识,他们积极采取措施应对潜在的灾难。这包括储备物资、制定疏散计划、密切关注气象预报等。这种积极主动的态度与其他地区形成鲜明对比。新奥尔良的海岸总体规划(Coastal Master Plan)是一个雄心勃勃的项目,旨在通过建造新土地、恢复湿地等方式来减轻气候变化的影响。该计划耗资巨大,但它并非旨在完全解决问题,而是争取宝贵的时间,为未来的挑战做好准备。然而,该计划也面临来自当地渔民的强烈反对,他们担心该计划会破坏他们的生计。州长也对此计划表示反对,这使得该计划的实施面临巨大的政治挑战。尽管如此,新奥尔良居民仍然致力于保护他们的城市,并为未来的不确定性做好准备。 Nathaniel Rich:新奥尔良居民对飓风风险的认知和应对措施比其他地区更积极主动。他们密切关注气象预报,并拥有多个信息来源。他们储备物资,制定疏散计划,并对潜在的风险有清醒的认识。新奥尔良的海岸总体规划是一个长期、大规模的项目,旨在减轻气候变化的影响,但它也面临着来自渔民和政治方面的挑战。该计划的实施需要权衡不同利益群体之间的需求,并做出艰难的抉择。尽管面临诸多挑战,新奥尔良居民仍然对城市的未来充满希望,并致力于保护他们的家园。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why do New Orleanians have a different perspective on natural disasters compared to other places?

New Orleanians live with the constant awareness of existential risk, knowing that every hurricane season could be their last. This leads to a more honest and frank approach to disaster planning.

How do New Orleanians prepare for hurricanes?

They maintain fully stocked pantries, have gallons of water, whole-house generators for those who can afford them, and evacuation plans. They also track every cyclone advisory and have 'go bags' ready without needing reminders.

What is the Coastal Master Plan in New Orleans?

It is a $50 billion, 50-year plan to mitigate Louisiana's severe coastal land loss through projects like river diversion, creating new land, and implementing various mitigation efforts. It renews every five years.

Why are some Gulf fishermen opposed to the Coastal Master Plan?

They fear that diverting the Mississippi River water into the marshes will drastically alter the fisheries they rely on for their livelihoods, even though their homes are at risk from sea level rise and hurricanes.

What is the psychological impact of accepting a city's finite lifespan?

Accepting the mortality of a city can focus thinking, prioritize values, and foster a stronger commitment to the life of the place, leading to more robust civic engagement despite the shared sense of peril.

How does New Orleans' approach to climate change differ from other cities?

New Orleanians are more aware of their specific risks, such as knowing their elevation above sea level and flood risk maps. This awareness is bracing and leads to more proactive planning and civic engagement.

What is the significance of the 'spaghetti models' in hurricane tracking?

Spaghetti models are projections of different modeling agencies' predictions of a storm's path, overlaid on a map to show various possible routes, helping to predict where a hurricane might go.

Why does the Coastal Master Plan face political challenges?

The plan is threatened by opposition from Gulf fishing communities and Governor Jeff Landry, who prioritizes the livelihoods of these communities over the broader population's safety and the oil and gas industry's support.

What does the example of New Orleans suggest about the balance between hope and despair in climate change discussions?

New Orleans shows that accepting the finite nature of a city's life doesn't lead to despair but rather to a commitment to improve the place and withstand pressures, challenging the binary of hope and despair in U.S. activist circles.

Chapters
New Orleans, facing constant threat of hurricanes, exhibits a unique perspective on disaster preparedness. Unlike other areas, there's an acceptance of existential risk, leading to proactive measures like maintaining stocked pantries and generators, meticulous storm tracking, and reliance on local news and amateur experts.
  • New Orleanians live with a frank acceptance of existential risk from hurricanes.
  • Proactive disaster preparedness is common, including stocked pantries, generators, and detailed evacuation plans.
  • Local news and amateur experts play a significant role in tracking storms and disseminating information.
  • The city's unique approach stems from a deep-seated understanding that every hurricane season could be the last.

Shownotes Transcript

This year was earth’s hottest on record, and the Atlantic storm season brought with it five major hurricanes. And yet in December, the Pew Research Center found that only some 20 percent of Americans expect to make major sacrifices in their lifetime due to the climate crisis. According to writer Nathaniel Rich, when it comes to planning for a fraught future, New Orleans sets an example the rest of the country would be wise to follow.

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