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Stochasticity

2024/1/5
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Laura Buxton:两个同名同龄女孩通过一个漂流的气球相遇,引发了对命运和偶然性的讨论,她们认为这可能是某种缘分或注定。 Jad Abumrad和Robert Krulwich:本节目探讨了偶然性在生活中的作用,以及我们对偶然事件的解读方式,是将其视为神奇的命运,还是单纯的巧合。 Debra Nolan和Jay Kohler:通过抛硬币实验和彩票中奖案例,说明看似低概率事件在更大的样本空间中发生的概率可能远高于人们的直觉判断,我们容易被局部事件的巧合性迷惑,而忽略了整体概率。 Jay Kohler:即使是看似极低概率的事件,例如连续两次中彩票,在更大的样本空间(例如全球彩票购买者)中,其发生的概率也并非微不足道。我们应该避免过度解读偶然事件的意义。 Anne:一位帕金森氏症患者在服用Requip药物后,出现严重的赌博成瘾症状,这说明药物可能影响大脑多巴胺系统,导致对奖励的过度追求和冲动行为。 Carl Zimmer:生命的基础是随机性,即使在基因表达等看似有序的生物过程中,也存在着大量的随机波动。生物体通过复杂的机制来过滤和利用这些随机性,最终形成有序的整体。

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First aired way back in 2009, this episode is all about a wonderfully slippery and smarty-pants word for randomness, Stochasticity, and how it may be at the very foundation of our lives. Along the way, we talk to a woman suddenly consumed by a frenzied gambling addiction, hear from two friends whose meeting seems to defy pure chance, and take a close look at some very noisy bacteria.

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Videos - Stochasticity Music Video) (https://zpr.io/uZiH9j9ZU6be))

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