We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Geopolitics Driving Markets Again | Macro Mondays

Geopolitics Driving Markets Again | Macro Mondays

2025/6/16
logo of podcast Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
A
Andreas Steno
M
Michael Rosemar
R
Raoul Pal
Topics
Andreas Steno: 我认为这次以伊冲突不太可能像之前那样以一轮攻击结束,更有可能通过谈判解决,伊朗需要做出一些政治让步。股市最初受到冲击,但这是典型的“恐慌错位”现象。在动荡的地缘政治局势中,不受国际政府或机构控制的黄金和比特币通常表现良好。鉴于我们今天从伊朗各方收到的信息,伊朗政权似乎已经完蛋了。 Michael Rosemar: 我认为伊朗政府正面临非常非常大的麻烦,因为他们未能保护国家免受外部敌人的侵害。他们必须与以色列和美国达成某种协议。内塔尼亚胡对伊朗发动了一次计划周密的袭击,削弱了伊朗的防空力量。伊朗政府无法继续这样下去,因为如果伊朗外围地区的反叛组织开始认为伊朗空军已经不复存在或停飞,他们可能会夺取想要从伊朗分裂出去的领土。他们必须做出某种反应,达成某种协议来管理局势,为他们的人民创造一些基本的安全保障。核计划必须关闭,还需要核实。第二部分是切断对哈马斯、真主党和胡塞武装的资金支持。如果一切顺利,内塔尼亚胡将为唐纳德·特朗普解决很多难题。我认为市场面临的最大风险有两个:伊朗是否会选择在霍尔木兹海峡采取行动,以及伊朗政权是否会崩溃。可能会出现一个对市场友好的自由贸易政府,开放与伊朗的贸易,但也可能导致伊朗分裂成几个小国,最终成为一个失败国家。我认为我们本周会达成某种协议,这实际上对市场有利。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter contains several ads and disclaimers.

Shownotes Transcript

Andreas Steno, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the latest news and trends driving global markets. From escalating Ukraine-Russia tensions and the Israel-Iran standoff to the latest twists in U.S.-China trade talks, they unpack how geopolitics is driving market volatility, shaping risk assets, and influencing macro positioning.

📣 This episode is brought to you by Bitwise Asset Management. Bitwise has been all-in on crypto since 2017 and has more than 20 crypto-based products to help investors get the necessary access. Bitwise manages the world’s largest crypto index fund, one of the top Bitcoin ETFs, and one of the largest institutional Ethereum staking solutions. Bitwise has over $10 billion in assets under management and over 100 people in the US and Europe to help manage everything from ETFs to private alpha strategies to SMAs for large investors.

👉 Check out Bitwise at https://bitwiseinvestments.com and let them know that Real Vision mentioned them. Carefully consider the extreme risks associated with crypto before investing

🔥 Arch Public: It’s a hedge fund in your pocket. Built for retail traders, designed to outperform Wall Street. Try it for free: https://realvision.com/arch

1️⃣ On October 1-2, 2025, crypto will converge in Singapore for TOKEN2049. Over 25,000

attendees, 500+ exhibitors, and 300 speakers will shape the future at the world’s largest

crypto event.

2️⃣ TOKEN2049 Singapore will take over the entire iconic Marina Bay Sands, transforming it

into a pop-up city for the global crypto ecosystem. Expect an exceptional speaker lineup, an

electric expo, and a festival unlike anything you’ve experienced.

3️⃣ With 1,000+ side events all around TOKEN2049, Singapore will be the industry’s focal point

from September 29 - October 5, capped off by the Formula 1 Grand Prix Weekend.

4️⃣ Secure your spot now at http://asia.token2049.com and get an exclusive 15% discount on top of the Super Early Bird rate with the promo code REALVISION — only while tickets last.

📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for.

👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss.

Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at [email protected] to explore advertising possibilities.

Music license ID: WJ6TRPVHFD

About Real Vision™:

We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey.

Connect with Real Vision™ Online:

Website: https://www.realvision.com/join

Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter

Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram

Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin

Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices)