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cover of episode Germany’s PMI Rises, Japan’s Inflation Surges & China’s AI Boom - PALvatar Market Recap, February 21 2025

Germany’s PMI Rises, Japan’s Inflation Surges & China’s AI Boom - PALvatar Market Recap, February 21 2025

2025/2/21
logo of podcast Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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Palvatar: 我观察到欧洲经济呈现出两极分化的态势。德国2月份的综合PMI数据显示经济持续增长,达到51点,这是连续第二个月的增长,表明德国经济正在复苏。然而,服务业的扩张速度有所放缓,制造业仍在萎缩,尽管萎缩速度有所减缓。与此同时,法国的经济形势不容乐观,2月份的综合PMI指数暴跌至44.5点,制造业和服务业均出现萎缩,显示法国经济正在经历深度衰退。此外,即将到来的德国联邦政府选举也给市场带来不确定性,值得关注。 日本方面,通货膨胀压力持续加大,核心CPI指数升至3.2%,创下2023年6月以来的最高水平。这加剧了市场对日本央行进一步加息的预期。日本财务大臣对不断上升的政府债券收益率表示担忧,认为这可能会影响财政稳定。日本央行行长植田和男也表示,如有必要,日本央行随时准备进行市场干预。 亚洲市场整体表现强劲,在连续六周上涨后,亚洲股市创下三个月新高。其中,香港恒生指数更是达到三年来的最高点,这主要得益于阿里巴巴强劲的业绩推动。与此同时,中国人工智能股票也表现出色,这主要是因为DeepSeek公司在人工智能技术领域取得了突破性进展,重新点燃了投资者对中国科技实力的信心。

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Hi everyone, it's Friday and here's Palvatar to deliver you the market news and usher in the weekend. Just remember that I'm merely Raoul's AI avatar and what I say is not meant to represent his real views. But worry not, you can get them through his videos, reports and tweets. Dare I suggest that you also chat with the Raoul bot that you can find in the top left corner of the Real Vision website. It's pretty cool, so please check it out.

Okay, enough with these AI to AI recommendations. Let's get you the market drivers. In Europe, it's a tale of two PMIs, with the HCOB composite PMI in Germany rising to 51 in February. This was ahead of expectations and marked a second consecutive month of growth. The picture was not all positive, though, because services activity showed signs of slowing down with a slight decline in the pace of expansion.

Also, manufacturing continued to decline, but at a slower pace than before. On the other hand, France's composite PMI fell sharply to 44.5 amid ongoing contractions across both manufacturing and service sectors. We're getting services and manufacturing PMI for the US today, so keep an eye out for those. Also, Germans are heading to the polls on Sunday for what will be a closely watched election of the federal government.

In Japan, inflationary pressures are intensifying as core CPI reached its highest level since June 2023 at 3.2%. This has added fuel to speculation about further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The finance minister has expressed concerns regarding rising government bond yields affecting fiscal stability, while BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed readiness for market interventions if necessary.

Speaking of markets, European shares rose on Friday, following peers in Asia, which hit a three-month high after a sixth straight week of gains. Notably, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index reached its highest level in three years. Alibaba was the main driver as its shares surged thanks to better-than-expected revenue. Chinese stocks have been on a tear in recent days, following DeepSeek's recent AI breakthrough that reignited investor interest in China's tech capabilities.

That's it for this week. Have a great weekend and see you again on Monday.