cover of episode Tariff jitters, Marine Le Pen, FDA and Republican budget cuts

Tariff jitters, Marine Le Pen, FDA and Republican budget cuts

2025/4/1
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Jarrett Renshaw
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Kristalina Georgieva
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Michelle Gershberg
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Renee Hickman
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Richard Locke
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Jonah Green和Carmel Crimmins:特朗普即将实施的关税计划可能引发全球贸易战,导致经济衰退。市场对此表示担忧。 Kristalina Georgieva:国际货币基金组织(IMF)目前没有预测到经济衰退,但持续的不确定性会加剧经济冲击。及早明确关税计划对经济稳定至关重要。 Jarrett Renshaw:特朗普关税计划的细节尚不明确,可能涵盖所有国家,也可能仅限于少数国家。市场正处于观望状态。 Michelle Gershberg:FDA顶级疫苗官员的离职,加上潜在的药品关税和医疗机构裁员计划,增加了制药和生物技术行业的风险和不确定性。Peter Marks的离职尤其令人担忧,因为他对疫苗和生物技术药物的研发至关重要。这引发了人们对FDA未来运作能力的担忧,包括药品供应安全和食品安全等问题。 Richard Locke:玛丽娜·勒庞因贪污被判有罪,禁止参加2027年法国总统大选,这对法国政坛造成了巨大冲击。勒庞及其支持者认为这是政治迫害,她计划提出上诉。 Renee Hickman:共和党拟议的预算削减案将对加利福尼亚州22区(一个农业区)的居民产生重大影响,特别是那些依赖食品券和医疗补助的人们。预算削减可能导致医疗机构关闭和食品援助不足,加剧当地居民的贫困和食品安全问题。 Echantiz McDonald和Stevie Moore:作为食品券领取者,他们担心共和党的预算削减会影响他们的生活,使他们难以养活家人。 supporting_evidences Kristalina Georgieva: 'The International Monetary Fund doesn't see recession on the horizon. But she warned the longer uncertainty persists, the worse the economic hit. The sooner there is more clarity,' Jarrett Renshaw: 'We don't know what we're going to see. We've heard... Tariffs on all countries. We've heard senior aides say a much more limited 10 to 15 countries. The dirty 15, as one senior aide said, the ones with the biggest tariffs on U.S. goods.' Michelle Gershberg: 'Shares of U.S. drug makers are down after reports that the Food and Drug Administration's top vaccine official, Peter Marks, has been forced to resign....Well, there are a number of layers to this. We've seen plans for big layoffs at the major health agencies that regulate drugs and medical devices and food. There's the question looming this week of whether or not there will be tariffs that also affect pharmaceutical products.' Richard Locke: 'That sounds like this country. President Trump reacting to far-right leader Marine Le Pen's conviction for embezzlement and ban on running in France's 2027 presidential election.' Renee Hickman: 'But the party's budget cut proposals could become a liability for the GOP as it tries to hold its now majority in the House. In California's 22nd congressional district, a rural area in the Central Valley with a Republican representative, those cuts would have a big impact.' Echantiz McDonald: 'I don't know what I would eat because I rely on that to expect to eat for the month.' Stevie Moore: 'They are helping us and helping our kids and helping us be able to feed our children when we don't have jobs right now.'

Deep Dive

Chapters
President Trump is expected to announce a significant tariff plan, raising concerns about a potential global trade war and recession. The IMF does not currently predict a recession but warns that prolonged uncertainty will worsen economic consequences. The details of Trump's plan remain unclear, adding to market anxiety.
  • Trump's tariff plan expected April 2nd
  • Concerns of global trade war and recession
  • IMF warns of prolonged uncertainty worsening economic impact
  • Unclear details of Trump's plan

Shownotes Transcript

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Today, markets are on tenterhooks as the world awaits Trump's tariffs. Uncertainty looms over the FDA as its top vaccine official is forced out. France's Marine Le Pen vows to appeal after being barred from a presidential run. Plus what the proposed Republican budget cuts would mean in one rural California town.

It's Tuesday, April 1st. This is Reuters World News, bringing you everything you need to know from the front lines in 10 minutes every weekday. I'm Jonah Green in New York. And I'm Carmel Crimmins in Dublin. U.S. President Donald Trump is set to unveil a massive tariff plan tomorrow in what he's been dubbing Liberation Day. The president says tariffs would essentially cover all countries, stoking fears a global trade war could lead to recession.

Kristalina Georgieva, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, told Reuters the fund doesn't see recession on the horizon. But she warned the longer uncertainty persists, the worse the economic hit. The sooner there is more clarity,

the better. On Monday, the Trump administration released an encyclopedic list of foreign countries' policies and regulations it regards as trade barriers. But it's unclear how the 397-page report will impact Trump's tariff plans. White House reporter Jarrett Renshaw is in Washington, D.C. We don't know what we're going to see. We've heard...

Tariffs on all countries. We've heard senior aides say a much more limited 10 to 15 countries. The dirty 15, as one senior aide said, the ones with the biggest tariffs on U.S. goods. So the market's taking a wait and see approach. There seems to be different song every day in terms of kind of what to expect. China has launched military exercises around Taiwan, as Beijing calls the Taiwanese president a parasite.

The army, navy and rocket force exercises intended as a warning against the island's independence aspirations. Taiwan has sent warships in response to China's navy approaching its coast. In Myanmar, earthquake survivors don't have enough food or shelter. Aid groups arriving in the worst-hit areas say the need for clean water and sanitation is urgent. Friday's 7.7 magnitude earthquake killed more than 2,700 people.

The US has deported more alleged Venezuelan and MS-13 gang members to El Salvador. The ACLU has challenged previous deportations, citing a lack of due process.

The Trump administration says it is reviewing $9 billion in federal contracts and grants awarded to Harvard University. It's part of a crackdown on what the White House says is anti-Semitism on college campuses. And if you want to know more about this crackdown, check out our weekend podcast. We'll put a link in today's description.

Shares of U.S. drug makers are down after reports that the Food and Drug Administration's top vaccine official, Peter Marks, has been forced to resign.

Moderna tumbled over 12%. Marx's departure adds to uncertainty in the pharma and biotech sector, which faces concerns that U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs could include drugs, which have traditionally been excluded. Global Health Editor Michelle Gershberg is looking at why the FDA shakeup is rattling investors.

Well, there are a number of layers to this. We've seen plans for big layoffs at the major health agencies that regulate drugs and medical devices and food. There's the question looming this week of whether or not there will be tariffs that also affect pharmaceutical products. And that would be a big blow to the pharma industry's

profits. And now this new move is the kind of forced ouster of the top vaccine official at the FDA. Peter Marks creates new concerns. So Marks was a key figure in the development of the COVID-19 vaccine. He also oversees a department that deals with biotech drugs, gene therapies, really cutting edge medicines.

And that's, you know, a big piece of the biotech sector. And the companies that are most deeply embedded in that sector are some of the names that are getting hurt the hardest on Wall Street. Is this an indication of what else the industry is worried about going forward?

Marx's exit is a very powerful example of the kind of disruption that's happening within the FDA. The question really looms over the agency of how is that going to affect the day-to-day job, the day-to-day business of society?

keeping America's drug supply safe, making sure there are no shortages, making sure the food supply is safe. These are all big question marks for how that's going to work going forward. That's a big deal. That's a very big deal. I know all about it. And a lot of people thought she wasn't going to be convicted of anything. And I don't know if it means conviction, but she was banned for running for five years and she's the leading candidate

That sounds like this country. President Trump reacting to far-right leader Marine Le Pen's conviction for embezzlement and ban on running in France's 2027 presidential election. In a primetime TV interview on TF1, Le Pen told viewers that she's innocent and plans to file an appeal. The National Rally Party leader is one of the most prominent figures of the European far-right,

and is a frontrunner in polls to succeed French President Emmanuel Macron. Our France and Benelux bureau chief, Richard Locke, is following the reaction. You cannot underestimate what a political earthquake this is for France. Marine Le Pen has changed the face of her party. She has broadened its support across the entire country, essentially. And she was a genuine contender for

in the 2027 presidential election. It's not impossible that she runs in that vote. She will file an appeal. It's not impossible that that appeal is heard and concluded before the election in the spring of 2027. But as things stand, right here, right now, she's barred from running. What's the reaction over there? So reactions have been, I suppose, positive.

pretty mixed across the political spectrum and through the electorate as well. Some people are saying, we've seen this before from other politicians, maybe she's no different. Others are saying she was the woman we wanted to vote for, now we don't have that opportunity. Her far-right National Rally party officials are

clearly see the hand of a politically motivated judiciary here. So there is a sentiment out there amongst some, in particular on the far right, that this is the action of an establishment sort of determined to keep up from power. Florida is holding a pair of special elections today to fill two House seats vacated by Trump's cabinet picks. Republicans are expected to easily recapture these seats.

But the party's budget cut proposals could become a liability for the GOP as it tries to hold its now majority in the House. In California's 22nd congressional district, a rural area in the Central Valley with a Republican representative,

those cuts would have a big impact. I don't know what I would eat because I rely on that to expect to eat for the month. That's Echantiz McDonald. She's a food stamp recipient, as is Stevie Moore. They are helping us and helping our kids and helping us be able to feed our children when we don't have jobs right now. Food and agriculture reporter Renee Hickman recently traveled to this district.

So, Renee, what kind of area is this and how important are these benefits to the people who live there? Well, it's agriculturally very rich. A huge proportion of the nation's fruits and vegetables come from their vineyards. There's orchards, there's cattle ranches.

But, you know, alongside that agricultural wealth, there are very high rates of poverty, especially among people who work on those very farms. Despite the fact that it grows a huge amount of the food that we eat in this country, there's really high levels of food insecurity. And there are, you know, medical facilities that really depend on Medicaid. So I've been told...

by people who run some of the largest hospital systems in the area, that there are facilities that are at risk of closure in these rural communities if these cuts end up going through. And I've also heard from people at food pantries who don't know how they're going to keep up with the additional demand if these cuts to SNAP are made. And for today's recommended read, readjusting to life back on Earth.

Went to bed, felt good. Lay down on a bed for the first time in nine months was pretty awesome. I just, I crashed until the next day and then just, you know, trying to get up and trying to move around and understand gravity. After nine months stranded in space, find out how NASA astronaut Sonny Williams is doing. There's a link to the story in the pod description. For more on any of the stories from today, check out Reuters.com or the Reuters app.

Make sure to follow us on your favorite podcast player. We'll be back tomorrow with our daily headline show.