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cover of episode (Preview) A US-China Trade Framework and Continuing Rare Earth Fun; The PRC and the War in Iran; Challenges in China's Car Industry?

(Preview) A US-China Trade Framework and Continuing Rare Earth Fun; The PRC and the War in Iran; Challenges in China's Car Industry?

2025/6/17
logo of podcast Sharp China with Bill Bishop

Sharp China with Bill Bishop

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A
Andrew Sharp
B
Bill Bishop
W
Wang Yi
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王毅:中国明确谴责以色列袭击伊朗,认为其侵犯了伊朗的主权和领土完整,并对伊朗核设施的袭击表示严重关切。中国支持国际社会维护正义,并呼吁对以色列有影响力的国家努力恢复和平。中国的立场是基于联合国宪章的原则和国际关系的基本准则,旨在维护地区的和平与稳定。 Bill Bishop:我认为中国对乌克兰和伊朗采取不同的立场,这并非基于原则,而是基于国家利益的考量。中国将伊朗视为其在中东地区的重要伙伴,并且不希望看到伊朗政府变得虚弱甚至崩溃。尽管中国发表了一些谴责声明,但实际上中国在以色列-伊朗冲突中的影响力有限,更多的是一个旁观者。然而,如果伊朗有足够的资金购买武器,他们可能会选择中国而不是俄罗斯,因为俄罗斯的武器在乌克兰的冲突中表现不佳,并且出口能力有限。如果以色列持续打击导致伊朗内部分裂,中国可能会重新评估对伊朗的政策。总的来说,中国在中东的战略是试图在不付出太多代价的情况下获取利益。 Andrew Sharp:伊朗是中国石油的最大买家,中国与伊朗的经济联系紧密。中国与胡塞武装达成协议,避免袭击中国船只,这表明中国在中东地区采取务实的策略,以保护自身利益。

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Get all episodes of Sharp China, Sharp Tech, Stratechery Updates and Interviews, Greatest of All Talk, Asianometry and the Dithering Podcast as part of Stratechery Plus) for $15/month or $150/year.

Bill Bishop is the author of Sinocism)

On today’s show Andrew and Bill take stock of the US-China trade framework in the wake of last week’s negotiations in London. Topics include: US escalations that brought the PRC side back to the table, PRC rare earth leverage that forced a compromise but no additional export control concessions, and variables to watch as trade tensions continue. From there: A survey of the various implications for the PRC as Israel attacks Iran and Wang Yi condemns the violations of Iran’s sovereignty. At the end: The FT reports on struggles in the PRC auto industry, the politics of factory closures, another compelling data point undermining Xi rumors, and a Wall Street Journal story about new chip workarounds for PRC firms.

To email the show: [email protected])

@SharpTechPodcast Channel — YouTube)

@Stratechery Channel — YouTube)

Xi in Kazakhstan; PRC condemns Israel's attack on Iran; Real estate not stabilized; rare earths; Working on the 15th Five-Year Plan — Sinocism)

Trump Has No China Trade Strategy — Wall Street Journal)

New China Trade ‘Deal’ Takes U.S. Back to Where It Started — New York Times)

G-7 Works to Secure Critical Minerals in Face of China Curbs — Bloomberg)

Exclusive: US-China trade truce leaves military-use rare earth issue unresolved, sources say — Reuters)

China demands sensitive information for rare earth exports, companies warn — Financial Times)

Chinese FM Wang Yi holds phone conversation with Iranian FM, says Israel’s attack on nuclear facilities ‘sets dangerous precedent’ — Global Times)

Iran Orders Material From China for Hundreds of Ballistic Missiles — Wall Street Journal)

China’s car industry runs on empty as supply chain bills go unpaid — Financial Times)

China’s Geely to stop building new car plants amid severe global overcapacity — SCMP)

China Forced to Keep Unprofitable Firms Alive to Save Jobs and Avoid Unrest — Bloomberg)

Chinese AI Companies Dodge U.S. Chip Curbs by Flying Suitcases of Hard Drives Abroad — Wall Street Journal)