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The Unexpected Lessons from Election Night 11/06/24
2024/11/6
Squawk Pod
F
Frank Luntz
R
Roger Altman
Roger Altman：特朗普胜选是因为他抓住了选民的焦虑，即"你比四年前过得更好吗？"，而选民的答案是否定的。特朗普是一位极具天赋的政治家，美国正向右翼倾斜，民主党过于左倾。特朗普在经济和移民问题上占据主导地位，而这些正是选民最关心的问题。特朗普的胜选是基于"你比四年前过得更好吗？"这一问题，选民的回答否定了民主党执政的成果。民主党需要反思自身，决定是继续保持抵抗姿态，还是重新塑造自身形象，以回应民意。民主党需要在移民问题上与共和党寻求共同点。民主党内部将经历一个漫长、痛苦和血腥的自我重建过程。
Frank Luntz：特朗普的胜选令人意外，因为他承受了大量的批评，却依然取得了胜利，这表明他的支持者对其有着极高的忠诚度。特朗普的支持者对其忠诚度极高，无论他做什么，他们都会支持他。哈里斯竞选活动的失败在于未能明确定义其政策，以及未能与美国民众坦诚沟通。选民对高物价、边境安全以及过去四年民主党执政的失败感到不满，最终导致了特朗普的胜选。尽管共和党在选举中取得了胜利，但美国仍然是一个严重分裂的国家。民主党需要重新思考其领导层，选择更能与美国民众沟通的候选人。
Deep Dive
The episode opens with a discussion on how former President Donald Trump managed to win the 2024 election, highlighting his status as a 'gifted political athlete' and the historical significance of his victory.
- Trump's victory marks his return to the White House for a non-consecutive term.
- The win was unexpected by many experts and operatives.
- Trump's ability to improve his margins with key voter groups, including women and independents, played a crucial role.
Shownotes Transcript