We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Faster/Slower: Where AI Is Moving Ahead of Expectations and Where its Lagging

Faster/Slower: Where AI Is Moving Ahead of Expectations and Where its Lagging

2025/2/27
logo of podcast The AI Daily Brief (Formerly The AI Breakdown): Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

The AI Daily Brief (Formerly The AI Breakdown): Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
N
NLW
知名播客主持人和分析师，专注于加密货币和宏观经济分析。
Topics
NLW: 我认为2024年大部分时间，AI模型的底层能力提升速度低于预期，直到年末才出现显著提升。预训练模型的扩展性在有效性方面有所减弱，收益递减。企业对AI的采购速度远超预期，但实际应用和利用率却远低于预期。许多企业在其程序员和开发人员中遇到了对AI工具的阻力，这与消费者领域的情况形成鲜明对比。AI的成本降低速度惊人，远超摩尔定律。政策变化的速度低于预期，实际政策进展缓慢。社会上一些重大变化（例如，人们将AI用于与已故亲人的互动）的速度低于预期。中国和开源AI的发展速度都超出了预期。代理模型的能力提升速度（尤其是在特定领域和功能方面）正在加快，而通用型代理模型的应用进展相对缓慢。代理模型的采用率即将大幅提升，成为企业界讨论的焦点。 Grok: Grok的深度搜索结果显示，企业采购速度快，但实际应用和集成速度慢。 Perplexity: Perplexity的结果也显示企业采购速度快，但实际利用率低，模型创新出现停滞，监管和伦理框架进展缓慢。 ChatGPT: ChatGPT的深度研究结果显示，企业投资和初步应用快速增长，但从试点到生产的流程缓慢，大规模应用的投资回报率未实现。模型能力和创新快速发展，但可靠的推理和真实性进展缓慢。监管讨论的紧迫性增加，但正式监管滞后；消费者采用率高，但创意行业接受度和公众信任度低。 Swix: Swix的列表显示深度研究、强化学习和代理模型、开发代理和低代码代理发展迅速，但电子邮件代理、调度代理、可穿戴设备和实时语音到语音的应用进展缓慢。语音代理技术发展迅速，成为许多企业家关注的重点领域；可穿戴设备领域的AI应用进展缓慢。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The podcast opens by introducing the concept of 'punctuated equilibrium' in technological advancements, comparing it to biological evolution. It then sets the stage for discussing AI developments that have exceeded or lagged behind expectations in 2024. The episode will cover personal observations, insights from AI research tools, and a curated list from a fellow podcast host.
  • Punctuated equilibrium in AI development
  • Faster and slower advancements in AI

Shownotes Transcript

To many, it feels like a moment of significant acceleration. We're getting a new model every few days, major advances in agents, and generally there's a sense of things getting faster. And yet, not everything is moving in lock-step. NLW breaks down what in AI is moving faster than expected, vs what's moving slower.

Brought to you by:

KPMG – Go to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.kpmg.us/ai⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) to learn more about how KPMG can help you drive value with our AI solutions.

Vanta - Simplify compliance - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://vanta.com/nlw

The Agent Readiness Audit from Superintelligent - Go to https://besuper.ai/ to request your company's agent readiness score.

The AI Daily Brief helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to the podcast version of The AI Daily Brief wherever you listen: https://pod.link/1680633614Subscribe to the newsletter: https://aidailybrief.beehiiv.com/Join our Discord: https://bit.ly/aibreakdown