After Macau's return to China in 1999, the region underwent significant modernization, including extensive land reclamation projects that connected previously separate islands. The economy diversified beyond its historical reliance on fishing and tourism, with a focus on expanding education, research, and green finance. The integration into the Greater Bay Area also improved connectivity with the Pearl River Delta, making transportation more efficient.
The Portuguese made overtures to return Macau to China well before 1999, but the People's Republic of China declined the offer initially, as they were not ready to integrate Macau into their sovereign system. The Portuguese administration in Macau had a hands-off approach, and by the 1970s and 1980s, there was little sense of colonial authority, making the transition smoother when it eventually occurred.
Macau's economy diversified by expanding beyond its traditional reliance on casinos and tourism. Efforts were made to develop education and research institutions, attract international capital for funds management, and focus on green finance. The integration into the Greater Bay Area also facilitated economic diversification by improving connectivity with other cities in the Pearl River Delta.
Macau played a significant role in the opium trade during the 19th century, serving as a key smuggling hub. Opium was transported in clay pots via junks up and down the Pearl River. The harbor's silting eventually reduced its effectiveness, leading to the rise of Hong Kong as a more advantageous port.
Macau's 'one country, two systems' arrangement has been smoother compared to Hong Kong's. Macau quickly adopted national security laws as part of its handover agreement, while Hong Kong faced delays and controversies. Macau's local elections and governance have also been less contentious, partly due to its historical ties with the mainland and the absence of strong colonial influences like those in Hong Kong.
China's economy in 2025 is expected to benefit from ongoing structural transitions, including a shift from property dependence to high-tech manufacturing and renewable energy. Urbanization and income growth in lower-tier cities are also driving economic diversification. However, global trade disruptions, particularly from U.S. tariffs, remain a potential headwind.
Portuguese colonization left a lasting cultural impact on Macau, evident in its architecture, food, and languid lifestyle. The blend of Portuguese and Cantonese cultures created a unique Macanese identity, with influences seen in tropical boulevards, grand waterfronts, and a mix of culinary styles. Despite these influences, Macau remained deeply Chinese in its cultural ethos.
Macau did not experience the same level of unrest as Hong Kong because it lacked the external networks and resources that fueled the protests in Hong Kong. Macau's historical ties with the mainland and its smoother adoption of national security laws also contributed to its stability. Additionally, Macau's smaller size and less contentious colonial legacy played a role in maintaining calm.
Macau's integration into the Greater Bay Area has significantly improved its economic connectivity with the Pearl River Delta. Enhanced transportation links, such as high-speed trains and bridges, have made it easier for people and goods to move between Macau and other cities. This has facilitated economic diversification and growth, particularly in sectors like green finance and tourism.
Key challenges for China's economy include managing the transition from property-driven growth to high-tech manufacturing and renewable energy. Additionally, potential disruptions in global trade, particularly from U.S. tariffs, pose risks. However, China's ability to adapt and its focus on urbanization and income growth in lower-tier cities provide a strong foundation for future growth.
We discuss the 25th anniversary of Macao’s return to China. Dr Warwick Powell describes his boyhood in the former Portuguese colony, its modernization process, and economic development after its return to China.