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cover of episode How Middle Powers Are Navigating the U.S.–China Rivalry

How Middle Powers Are Navigating the U.S.–China Rivalry

2025/6/18
logo of podcast The China-Global South Podcast

The China-Global South Podcast

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C
Carlos Coelho
E
Eric Olander
专注于分析中国在全球南方的技术创新和影响的媒体人物和分析师。
K
Kobus van Staden
M
Manjeet Kripalani
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Eric Olander: 在以色列与伊朗的冲突中,我注意到中国迅速采取了明确的立场,公开支持伊朗,并将以色列定位为侵略者,同时指责美国在背后操纵。这种做法与中国一贯标榜的中立姿态大相径庭,显示出中国在中东地区有着清晰的战略利益和考量。中国在中东的能源利益巨大,尤其依赖通过霍尔木兹海峡运输的石油。如果该海峡关闭,将对中国的经济产生直接影响。因此,中国在中东的政策选择,既有外交层面的考量,也有深层的经济安全因素。我对此感到担忧,中国在中东的立场选择可能会对其全球战略产生长期影响。 Kobus van Staden: 我同意Eric的观点,中国在中东的立场选择背后,既有经济利益的驱动,也有地缘政治的考量。伊朗关闭霍尔木兹海峡的威胁,不仅会影响中国的能源供应,也会直接冲击中国与伊朗的贸易。因此,中国需要采取一种平衡的策略,既要维护与伊朗的关系,又要避免因冲突升级而损害自身的经济利益。此外,中国在中亚地区的布局,也是其地缘政治战略的重要组成部分。通过加强与中亚国家的经济联系,中国可以构建绕开霍尔木兹海峡的陆路运输通道,从而降低对中东能源的依赖,实现能源供应的多元化。这种战略对冲,反映出中国在全球地缘政治中的复杂考量。

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In this new era of surging instability and geopolitical uncertainty, so-called "Middle Power" states are rapidly diversifying their foreign policies to deepen engagement with other countries in the Global South, while reducing their exposure to the U.S. and China.  But the approach taken by these middle power countries varies a lot. A new report by the Körber Foundation in Germany) surveyed foreign policy experts from India, Brazil, and South Africa, revealed sharp divergences in how these countries view the global order, the roles of China and the U.S., and the future of multilateral institutions. Eric & Cobus speak with two of the report’s contributors, Manjeet Kripalani in Mumbai and Carlos Coelho in Rio de Janeiro, about how countries like India and Brazil are navigating this increasingly contested world.

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