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cover of episode Active Non-Alignment in the Era of U.S.-China Rivalry

Active Non-Alignment in the Era of U.S.-China Rivalry

2025/5/26
logo of podcast The China in Africa Podcast

The China in Africa Podcast

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E
Eric Olander
专注于分析中国在全球南方的技术创新和影响的媒体人物和分析师。
J
Jorge Heine
K
Kobus Van Staden
Topics
Eric Olander: 我观察到,美国和中国过去常告诉其他国家,它们不希望这些国家在中美之间选边站。但现在情况已经改变,许多国家面临在中美之间选边站的压力。如果某些国家与中国或美国的敌对势力过于接近,美国可能会重新评估与这些国家的关系。南非等国正试图同时维持与美国和中国的关系,但这种平衡正变得越来越困难。 Kobus Van Staden: 我认为南非目前试图在美中之间找到某种平衡,希望与美国达成协议。中国仍然是南非最大的双边贸易伙伴,南非不希望被迫在中美之间做出选择。如果被迫选择,南非可能会选择中国,因为中国在南非经济中占据核心地位。 Jorge Heine: 我认为积极不结盟是发展中国家在全球竞争中奉行自身利益的外交政策。发展中国家不应屈服于压力,不应与任何大国结盟,而应将自身利益放在首位。大国竞争意味着华盛顿和北京都在争取世界各国的支持,因此它们必须提供激励。在这种情况下,各国可以充分利用机会,例如在建设港口时选择提供最佳条件的国家。对于不结盟国家而言,对冲是一种关键策略,它介于平衡和顺应之间。对冲是指在某些情况下与一个大国结盟,而在另一些情况下与另一个大国结盟,并发出混合信号。

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From Panama to Kenya to Indonesia, a growing number of developing countries are being pulled into the intensifying rivalry between China and the U.S. For these middle powers, the stakes are high as they must carefully navigate the tension to avoid provoking either side and risking serious consequences.

But rather than accommodating the U.S. and China, developing countries should instead pursue a different agenda that puts their interests first.

Jorge Heine, a former Chilean ambassador to China, South Africa, and India and now a research professor at Boston University, joins Eric & Cobus to talk about the latest edition of his book on active non-alignment that showcases the role of so-called "new neutrals."

JOIN THE DISCUSSION: X: @ChinaGSProject) | @eric_olander) | @stadenesque)

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