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cover of episode #162 Nathan Myhrvold
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Nathan Myhrvold
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Nathan Myhrvold: 本期节目中，Nathan Myhrvold 阐述了人类在长期规划方面存在缺陷，常常追求眼前的满足感而忽视长远利益，这体现在个人生活和社会治理中，例如肥胖问题和气候变化。他认为气候变化是人类面临的最严峻的长期挑战，目前世界各国几乎没有采取任何有效措施。他分析了化石燃料在历史上的作用，以及其对环境的影响。他认为，解决气候变化需要发明一种优于化石燃料的技术，或者迫使人们认真对待气候变化。他还讨论了地球工程技术作为应对气候变化的一种可能手段，以及其潜在的风险和收益。他认为，地球工程技术应该作为最后手段使用，只有在其他措施无效的情况下才考虑采用。他还强调了国际合作在应对气候变化中的重要性，以及发达国家与发展中国家之间的责任分担问题。 Nathan Myhrvold: 他还谈到了自动驾驶技术、太空探索以及生物恐怖主义的威胁。他认为，在某些应用场景下，电脑比人类做得更好，例如飞机的自动驾驶。他认为，载人航天计划已经过时，未来太空探索应该更多地依靠机器而非人类。他还认为，生物恐怖主义的威胁比核武器更大，因为其成本更低，更容易实施，也更难以控制。他认为，人类往往会拖延问题，直到出现紧急情况才采取行动，这在应对疫情和气候变化中都有体现。他认为，应对疫情和气候变化都需要权衡短期利益和长期利益，并以消防喷淋器为例说明了这一点。他认为，未来还将发生新的疫情，需要提前做好准备。他还讨论了国际合作在应对气候变化中的重要性，以及发达国家与发展中国家之间的责任分担问题。

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Nathan Myhrvold discusses how he came to work with Stephen Hawking during his postdoc and his subsequent career path, including his time at Microsoft.

Shownotes Transcript

Visionary technology and business leader Nathan Myhrvold just might be the most interesting person in the world, and in this episode of The Knowledge Project he dives deep into some of the most pressing questions facing our world today. Where will technology take us in the future? Should we trust artificial intelligence? Where have we gone wrong in protecting our planet? How do we reverse the effects of what we’ve already done? Myhrvold answers all these and much, much more.   Myhrvold is a prominent scientist, technologist, inventor, author, and food photographer, and the former Chief Technology Officer at Microsoft. He’s also the co-founder of patent portfolio developer Intellectual Ventures, the principal author of the culinary book Modernist Cuisine: The Art and Science of Cooking, part of a team that won first place at the World Barbecue Championships, and he completed his postdoctoral fellowship under legendary theoretical physicist Stephen Hawking.
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