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cover of episode Could the War in Gaza Cost Kamala Harris the Election?

Could the War in Gaza Cost Kamala Harris the Election?

2024/10/1
logo of podcast The New Yorker Radio Hour

The New Yorker Radio Hour
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A
Abbas Alawieh
A
Andrew Marantz
D
David Remnick
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David Remnick：本文探讨了加沙战争对美国大选的影响，特别是对民主党候选人卡马拉·哈里斯在密歇根州的选情。由于拜登政府对以色列的支持以及在民主党大会上缺乏巴勒斯坦裔美国人的声音，导致许多阿拉伯裔美国人和穆斯林选民不满。绿党候选人吉尔·斯坦在密歇根州穆斯林选民中的支持率很高，这进一步加剧了民主党面临的挑战。 Andrew Marantz：文章采访了“不表态”运动的创始人之一Abbas Alawieh，该运动鼓励民主党人在初选中不投票给拜登，以抗议美国对以色列的政策。Alawieh表达了对哈里斯竞选活动的失望，他认为哈里斯竞选团队未能就停止对以色列的武器供应做出明确承诺，也未能与巴勒斯坦裔美国人社区进行有效沟通。他指出，许多选民认为特朗普是反战候选人，因为他们认为没有什么比种族灭绝更糟糕的了。 Abbas Alawieh：Alawieh详细阐述了“不表态”运动的立场，他们不认可哈里斯，反对特朗普，也不建议投票给第三方候选人。他解释了为什么许多选民无法支持哈里斯，以及他们如何看待特朗普和哈里斯之间的区别。他强调，民主党未能满足他们的要求，导致他们对哈里斯的支持度降低。他与在黎巴嫩的叔叔的谈话也反映了选民的担忧，他们担心特朗普当选会加剧加沙地区的冲突。 Andrew Marantz：Marantz分析了“不表态”运动的政治影响，指出该运动的规模足以影响密歇根州的选举结果，尤其是在哈里斯的领先优势较小的情况下。他指出，一些选民已经忘记或淡化了特朗普政府的负面影响，而另一些选民则对特朗普和哈里斯之间的区别有清晰的认识。他认为，民主党未能就巴勒斯坦问题做出让步，可能是出于政治策略的考虑，但这种做法可能会疏远一些选民。

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The Uncommitted Movement, initially formed during the primaries to protest U.S. policy on Israel, encouraged Democrats to abstain from voting for Biden. Now, with the general election approaching, this movement poses a significant challenge for Kamala Harris in Michigan, a crucial swing state. Many voters, especially Arab American and Muslim voters, remain deeply upset by the Biden administration's support for the Israeli military, and Harris hasn't offered a substantial policy shift.
  • Uncommitted Movement began during primaries as a protest against US policy on Israel.
  • Movement encouraged voters to choose "Uncommitted" instead of Biden.
  • Harris's unwavering support for Israel, similar to Biden's, has alienated some voters.
  • No Palestinian-American speakers were allowed at the Democratic convention.
  • Jill Stein is polling well with Muslim voters in Michigan, potentially impacting Harris's chances.

Shownotes Transcript

In Michigan, many voters—particularly Arab American and Muslim voters—remain deeply upset by the Biden Administration’s support for the Israeli military, in the face of the enormous death toll in Gaza. In her Presidential campaign, Kamala Harris has not articulated any major shift in policy. Earlier in the year, during the primary elections, activists urged Democrats to check the box for “Uncommitted,” as a rebuke to Biden. But now, just weeks away from the general election, these disaffected Democrats could cost Harris the election. Andrew Marantz, who has reported on the Uncommitted Movement), talks with one of the its founders, Abbas Alawieh, about the difficult moral calculus facing Muslim Democrats, and why the Party spurned overtures from pro-Palestinian groups. The antiwar candidate Jill Stein, of the Green Party, is now polling very well with Muslim voters, and Donald Trump’s campaign is claiming that he can stop the war; however, Uncommitted leaders feel they cannot endorse Harris. In conversation with David Remnick, Marantz recalls that Hillary Clinton lost Michigan by around ten thousand votes; more than one hundred thousand people checked “Uncommitted.”