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cover of episode July 3rd, 2025:  Chinese Spies Busted on U.S. Soil & U.S. Halts Ukraine Weapons Shipments

July 3rd, 2025: Chinese Spies Busted on U.S. Soil & U.S. Halts Ukraine Weapons Shipments

2025/7/3
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D
Donald Trump
批评CHIPS Act,倡导使用关税而非补贴来促进美国国内芯片制造。
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Mike Baker
中国外交部发言人
乌克兰外交部副部长
越南政府
阿塞拜疆总统
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Mike Baker: 作为主持人,我认为中国正在不断努力从内部破坏美国的国家安全利益。最近的案件提醒我们,北京正在进行不懈的努力,以削弱美国。两名中国公民因从事间谍活动被捕,他们可能面临最高10年监禁和25万美元的罚款。美国司法部官员表示,中国政府正在积极秘密地收集有关美国军事能力的情报,并且长期招募和培养情报资产。中国的情报机构并不太关心眼前的结果,他们对目标和情报收集工作保持着长远的眼光。 Pam Bondi: 作为美国司法部长,我强调美国司法部不会容忍敌对国家在美国安插间谍,中国政府正持续且积极地渗透我们的军队,破坏我们的国家安全。

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Two Chinese nationals, Yuan Shen and Ryan Lai, were arrested and charged with spying on US Navy personnel and bases. The FBI investigation revealed a clandestine operation involving cash drops, surveillance, and attempted recruitment of military members. China's foreign ministry responded with denials.
  • Two Chinese nationals arrested for spying on US Navy bases and personnel
  • Operated under the direction of China's Ministry of State Security (MSS)
  • Used dead drops to receive payments
  • Attempted to recruit US Navy personnel of Chinese background
  • China's foreign ministry denied the allegations

Shownotes Transcript

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It's Thursday, the 3rd of July. Welcome to the President's Daily Brief. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage. And yes, quite clearly, still on the road. You know, at some point, we're going to produce a coffee table book here at the PDB featuring all the backdrops that I've had over the past couple of years.

All right, let's get briefed. We'll start things off with a story that's raising serious alarms inside the Pentagon. Two Chinese nationals have been arrested and charged with spying on U.S. Navy bases and service members. We'll break down what they were doing, who they were working for, oh, here's a hint, they're Chinese nationals, and how the FBI caught them.

Here in the show, the Pentagon hits pause on key military aid to Ukraine, including air defense systems and precision munitions. Concerns over dwindling U.S. stockpiles are driving the decision. Plus, a diplomatic rift between Azerbaijan and Russia deepens. Baku has detained seven people tied to a Kremlin-backed media outlet following the deaths of two ethnic Azerbaijanis in Russian custody.

And in today's Back of the Brief, President Trump unveils a new trade deal with Vietnam, slapping a 20% tariff on imports while securing tariff-free access to Vietnamese markets for U.S. goods. But first, today's PDB Spotlight.

We'll begin in the U.S. with an alarming but frankly not surprising case of Chinese espionage targeting the U.S. military It's a timely reminder that Beijing is engaged in an unrelenting effort to undermine America's national security interests from within Earlier this week, the Department of Justice unsealed charges against two Chinese nationals for allegedly spying on U.S. Navy service members and bases and attempting to recruit members of the military

to carry out tasks on behalf of China's Ministry of State Security, or the MSS the Communist nation's main foreign intelligence service

The suspects were arrested by FBI agents last Friday for failing to register as foreign agents as they worked to carry out various clandestine intelligence tasks for the CCP, the Chinese Communist Party, according to a report from Fox News. The infiltrators were identified as 38-year-old Yuan Shen and 39-year-old Ryan Lai, both of whom now face up to 10 years in prison and fines of a quarter million dollars, convicted of the charges.

Chen, who resides in Happy Valley, Oregon, reportedly first arrived in the U.S. back in 2015 on a U.S. visa before becoming a lawful permanent resident, though he wasn't recruited by China's intelligence service until years later. Lai, meanwhile, arrived in Texas earlier this spring on a tourist visa as part of an effort to supervise clandestine espionage operations on behalf of China's MSS, though he had made numerous past trips to the U.S.,

Investigators said they believed Lai was the driving force behind the spying campaign and had been developing Chen to become a Chinese intelligence asset since at least mid-2021.

According to the DOJ criminal complaint, the two men traveled to Guangzhou, China, in January of 2022 to meet directly with members of the MSS about coordinating what's called a dead drop payment of at least US$10,000, which was used to pay other US-based assets of the communist regime. That task involved leaving a backpack with the cash in a day-use locker, hence the name dead drop,

in Livermore, California, which was later picked up by unknown agents of the CCP.

After the cash drop payment, the pair focused their attention on the U.S. Navy, conducting surveillance of a Navy recruiting station in California and a Navy base in Washington state in 2022 and also in 2023. While monitoring the recruitment center in California, Chen took photographs and video footage, including a bulletin board that contained the names and hometowns of Navy recruits of Chinese background. He then sent those photos back to an MSS intelligence officer in China

identifying them as individuals that might be open to working on behalf of the Chinese government. The Chinese intelligence officer sent back instructions to Chen on what to say to potential recruits to lure them into service, including what naval job assignments the MSS would prefer and how the MSS would pay them for their assistance.

Eventually, Chen began directly communicating with a naval employee through social media and later arranged for a tour of the USS Abraham Lincoln in San Diego with his target. He also sent detailed information about the unidentified naval employee back to his handlers in China. Chen made two more trips back to Guangzhou, China, once in April 2024 and again in March of 2025 to meet with MSS intelligence officers to discuss further payments for specific tasks.

As I mentioned, the other suspect, Ryan Lai, returned to the U.S. in April of this year, saying he was visiting contacts in Houston regarding his business as an online retailer.

He claimed that he would only be in town for two weeks, but Lai, who by this time was on the radar of the U.S. authorities, was surveilled more than a month later, traveling with an unidentified companion from Texas to California, raising further suspicions. Authorities moved to arrest both men on the 27th of June as part of a coordinated counterintelligence and law enforcement operation across multiple states.

Officials with the DOJ said the case highlights what they described as active efforts by the Chinese government to secretly collect intelligence about American military capabilities. They warned that the remains widespread as China's intelligence service dedicates years to recruiting individuals and cultivating them as assets. That's absolutely correct.

the chinese intel apparatus doesn't really concern itself so much with immediate results they maintain a very long-term perspective on their targeting and collection efforts in a statement u.s attorney general pam bondi said this case underscores the chinese government's unsustained and aggressive effort to infiltrate our military and undermine our national security from within the justice department will not stand by while hostile nations embed spies in our country end quote

Meanwhile, China's foreign ministry predictably feigned ignorance about the case, while slamming the Trump administration for pushing what they described as "unfounded allegations of espionage." A spokesman said, "I am not aware of the specifics, but we have always opposed unfounded hype about so-called Chinese spies." And then he added, "Just kidding. We've been stealing your shit for decades."

All right, coming up after the break, the Pentagon, by the way, that was a fake quote at the end. Coming up after the break, the Pentagon halts key weapons shipments to Ukraine over stockpile concerns and tensions spike between Azerbaijan and Russia. I'll be right back.

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Welcome back to the PDB. The Pentagon has halted shipments of critical air defense and precision munitions to Ukraine, citing concerns that American weapons stockpiles have become dangerously depleted amid growing global commitments. That move, initiated by Pentagon policy chief Elbridge Colby, follows months of internal wrangling over just how thin the U.S. can stretch its arsenals without undermining its own readiness.

According to three sources familiar with the matter, the review painted a bleak picture. Stocks of interceptors, artillery shells, and precision-guided munitions have fallen to levels that, if further drawn down, could leave the U.S. flat-footed in the event of a crisis. The pause, which was quietly decided on in early June,

is only now taking effect, coinciding perhaps inconveniently, well, definitely inconveniently, with one of Russia's most ferocious aerial barrages of the three-year war. As we discussed this week, Moscow unleashed more than 470 drones and 60 missiles over the weekend, pounding civilian infrastructure across Kyiv and other urban centers.

In a statement defending the move, White House Deputy Press Secretary Kelly said the decision, quote, was made to put America's interests first, following a DOD review of our nation's military support and assistance to other countries. She made a point, however, to know that the strength of America's armed forces remains unquestioned, adding, quote, just ask Iraq.

The freeze impacts weapons drawn from key funding streams, the first being existing Pentagon stockpiles. The others are deliveries tied to the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, which contracts U.S. firms to manufacture new weapons systems.

That second pipeline was largely exhausted during the Biden administration, though deliveries have continued as production schedules allow. The remaining drawdown authority is now being administered under President Trump, using leftover funds from the $61 billion Ukraine aid package that was passed last year. A senior Trump administration official said that while under the freeze, the White House will not request any further aid for Ukraine,

The remaining funds are sufficient to support Ukraine for several more months He emphasized that future shipments would depend on strategic need Notably, at one point, a memo recommending the munitions freeze reportedly sat on the desk of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for weeks as Pentagon staff turnover stalled internal consensus

That memo now appears to be shaping a broader realignment of U.S. military aid Plans are underway to redirect certain weapon systems, particularly artillery shells, tank rounds and interceptors, either back into domestic depots or toward Israel On Monday, the Trump administration approved a $510 million arms sale to Israel, including bomb guidance kits and associated logistical support

Now, the freeze and pivot of aid has not gone unnoticed in Kyiv, as you might imagine. On Wednesday, Ukraine's foreign ministry summoned John Ginkle, the deputy chief of mission at the U.S. embassy, seeking clarification. Ukraine's deputy foreign minister warned that, quote, any delay or slowing down in supporting defense capabilities would only encourage Russia to continue the war and the terror rather than seek peace, end quote.

Moscow, meanwhile, welcomed the development. Kremlin mouthpiece Dmitry Peskov told reporters that, quote, fewer arms supplied to Ukraine, the closer the end of the special military operation will be. And you have to remember that possibly one of the worst exercises ever. Putin has tried to market his three year plus bloody war and invasion of another country as a special military operation. Much like New Coke, nobody bought it.

The pause has drawn some comparison to Trump's 2019 decision to withhold aid to Ukraine That's a move that critics claim violated budget law, though no legal consequences followed Legal experts now warn that if Pentagon is now delaying congressionally authorized aid without formal budget notification It may again leave the Trump administration on uncertain legal ground

Okay, shifting to Azerbaijan. Seven people connected to a Kremlin-backed media outlet have been arrested following a raid in Baku, deepening an already growing rift between the two former Soviet allies. On Monday, masked officers stormed the offices of Sputnik Azerbaijan, that's the local arm of the Russian state media conglomerate. Authorities said the outlet had continued operations through what they described as, quote, illegal financing,

after losing its license earlier this year. Among the detained are the editor-in-chief, the editorial director, and five others who are now under criminal investigation for fraud, illegal entrepreneurship, and the criminal acquisition of property.

The two senior offenders face additional charges of conspiracy to launder money and commit fraud Those offenses carry sentences of up to 12 years Now all seven were ordered to be held in pretrial detention for a minimum of four months

Sputnik's parent company said the raids had effectively "blocked" the outlet's operations and denounced the move as "baseless" Russian state media reported staffers' homes were raided and computers seized while the Russian consulate had been denied access to its detained citizens

Once again, let's hear from Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov. He's always entertaining. Well, he chimed in on the complaints, calling the arrest, quote, absolutely not in line with generally accepted rules and norms and, quote, inconsistent with the spirit of Russian-Azerbaijani relations. Now, I'm not sure if Peskov knows this, but Russia's invasion of Ukraine can also be considered absolutely not in line with generally accepted rules and norms. But,

I'm starting to think that Dmitry lacks a sense of irony. This wasn't an isolated rupture. Just last week, Russian police in Yekaterinburg carried out their own raids targeting ethnic Azerbaijanis, cold case murder probe dating back decades. As a result of the raids, two men died in custody. That sounds about right for the Russian police. Others were hospitalized and nine were detained. Azerbaijan's prosecutor general launched a criminal investigation accusing Russian authorities of

using violence against men who were "practically helpless and unable to defend themselves" The diplomatic blowback from Baku was swift, Azerbaijani officials cancelled the scheduled visit to Moscow, disinvited a Russian deputy prime minister and pulled the plug on all concerts and exhibitions and other events backed by Russian state institutions

And in an unexpected twist, the president of Azerbaijan received a phone call from Ukrainian President Zelensky offering condolences regarding the raids in a rare show of solidarity This diplomatic spat is nothing new Despite sharing a membership in the OPEC+ energy alliance Azerbaijan has steadily decoupled from Moscow capitalizing on Russia's growing economic isolation to push into Western energy markets

The major fracture occurred back in December when a passenger airplane from Azerbaijan was downed over Russian airspace near Chechnya, killing 38 people. The Azerbaijani president blamed the incident on Russia's electronic warfare aimed at Ukrainian drones. Russian leader Putin merely offered condolences, but no admission that it was Moscow's doing.

Since then, the chill has only intensified. Azerbaijan's president skipped out on Russia's Victory Day parade in May, then rolled out the red carpet for a visit from Ukraine's foreign minister. The warm welcome came less than a year after Baku had hosted Putin.

Shortly after that visit, Azerbaijani officials lashed out at top Putin aides for remarks about the Nagorno-Karabakh region. Now, that territory, long disputed by Armenia and Azerbaijan, was retaken by Baku in a decisive 2023 military campaign. While Russia had long postured as Armenia's protector, its failure to prevent Azerbaijani gains drew ire from both sides. Baku accuses the Kremlin...

of double-dealing and of questioning its territorial claims. Coming up next in the back of the break, the White House unveils a new deal with one of America's top trading partners, announcing U.S. businesses will have free access to Vietnam's market. More on that when we come back.

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In today's Back of the Brief, President Trump announced a major trade deal with Vietnam on Wednesday, one that will significantly scale back crippling tariffs issued on Vietnamese products earlier this year in exchange for the communist nation opening its markets up to American goods. As a reminder, President Trump issued a slew of tariffs on America's trading partners at the beginning of April, including a 46% blanket tariff on Vietnamese imports.

The tariffs left Vietnam's economy particularly vulnerable as their exports to the U.S. account for roughly 30% of their GDP.

Shortly after, however, Trump announced a 90-day pause on most of the tariffs Which brought the levy on Vietnam temporarily down to 10% But with that pause set to expire next week It appears that leaders in Vietnam were eager to find a long-term resolution While details of the deal are scarce, Trump outlined the broader terms of the agreement

in a post on Truth Social. The president said Vietnam has agreed to pay a 20% tariff on exports to America while giving the U.S. preferential tariff-free access to Vietnamese markets. Trump said such access will be particularly beneficial for U.S. automakers, who had previously faced restrictions on selling large-engine cars like SUVs in the country.

Critically, Trump said Vietnam also agreed to a 40% tariff any goods that originated in another country but were transferred to Vietnam for final shipment to the U.S. Now, that's a practice known as transshipping. It's used by other nations as a way to circumvent trade barriers. That's according to a report from CNBC. Now, the new arrangement is, frankly, bad news for China, which has used Vietnam as a large-scale transshipment hub to avoid U.S. tariffs.

But the deal cools tensions with America's 10th biggest trading partner and 6th largest supplier of imports. The Vietnamese government later confirmed that they had reached a new trade framework with the U.S., noting that they'll give preferential access to U.S. goods, but did not confirm the specific tariff levels outlined by Trump.

We should note that critics of President Trump's aggressive tariff agenda warned that the new deal will height costs for U.S. importers, which they will likely or could pass on to American consumers. Still, the S&P 500 rose slightly on the news.

As far as other trade deals go, uncertainty remains as the tariff deadline approaches. Trump has indicated that he may ignore or revise his self-imposed 9th July deadline, as to date he's only struck revised frameworks with China and the United Kingdom. But administration officials continue to insist that the U.S. is close to reaching deals with dozens of other countries.

And that, my friends, is the President's Daily Brief for Thursday, the 3rd of July. Now, if you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at pdbatthefirsttv.com. And, of course, to listen to the show ad-free, just become a premium member of the President's Daily Brief by visiting pdbpremium.com. Couldn't be simpler. And remember, of course, if you get a chance, please take a minute to check out and subscribe to our YouTube channel. You can find that at President's Daily Brief. As the kids say...

It's the cat's pajamas. I don't know what the kids actually say. I'm Mike Baker, and I'll be back later today with the PDB Afternoon Bulletin. Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.