We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Our hottest and coldest 2025 takes

Our hottest and coldest 2025 takes

2024/12/8
logo of podcast The Vergecast

The Vergecast

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript
People
D
David Pierce
知名技术记者和播客主持人,专注于社会媒体、智能家居和人工智能等领域的分析和评论。
J
Joanna Stern
N
Nilay Patel
以尖锐评论和分析大科技公司和政治人物而闻名的《The Verge》编辑总监。
Topics
Joanna Stern认为2025 年底,社交媒体仍然会非常分散,用户需要在许多不同的平台上发布内容,并且这种趋势不会很快改变。她认为,虽然一些平台可能会合并,但新的平台也会不断涌现,导致用户需要管理越来越多的账户。她还预测TikTok将会继续存在,并且短视频平台的竞争将会持续激烈。 Nilay Patel预测亚马逊的Alexa智能音箱在2025年的表现将会比较一般,不会有太大的突破。他认为,亚马逊没有像谷歌或苹果那样面临巨大的压力,因此他们可以慢慢改进Alexa,而不会急于推出新功能。 David Pierce预测2025年传统有线电视将会基本消失,人们将会转向流媒体服务。他认为,有线电视公司将会逐渐放弃有线电视业务,转而专注于流媒体服务,而传统的有线电视盒子将会变得过时。 Nilay Patel认为沃尔玛将会收购TikTok。他认为,由于美国政府对TikTok的监管压力,字节跳动可能会选择将TikTok出售给一家美国公司,而沃尔玛是潜在的买家之一。他认为,沃尔玛收购TikTok后,可以利用TikTok的电商功能来提升自身的销售额。 David Pierce预测2025年将会出现一款令人惊艳的AI智能设备,并获得巨大成功。他认为,虽然目前市面上的AI设备还有很多不足之处,但未来一年内,肯定会有公司推出令人印象深刻的AI产品。 Joanna Stern预测Meta公司将会发布另一款Ray-Ban智能眼镜,并且这款眼镜将会配备显示屏。她认为,Meta公司在智能眼镜领域的技术领先于苹果公司,并且将会继续保持领先地位。 David Pierce预测人们将会放弃Matter标准,智能家居互联的理念将会不再流行。他认为,智能家居设备的互联互通性仍然存在很多问题,并且人们对智能家居的兴趣正在下降。他认为,未来人们将会更倾向于使用独立的智能设备,而不是一个复杂的智能家居系统。 Joanna Stern预测苹果Mac电脑将会配备触摸屏。她认为,苹果公司迟早会为Mac电脑配备触摸屏,但具体时间还不确定。 Nilay Patel预测谷歌将会主动拆分自身业务。他认为,由于美国政府对谷歌的反垄断调查压力,谷歌可能会选择主动拆分自身业务,以减轻监管压力。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why will social media remain fragmented in 2025?

Social media will still be fractured with more platforms like Mastodon, Threads, and X, making it necessary to post to multiple accounts daily.

Why will Amazon's Alexa AI not significantly improve by 2025?

Amazon has no urgent business pressure to make Alexa exceptional, unlike Google and Apple, allowing them to take their time with AI advancements.

Why will cable TV become obsolete by 2025?

Cable TV will essentially die out, leaving only a few holdouts, as companies spin off cable channels and focus on streaming services.

Why will TikTok be sold by 2025?

TikTok's sale will be forced by U.S. laws, and potential buyers like Walmart are less concerned about the algorithm's quality, focusing more on the platform's shopping capabilities.

Why will an AI gadget become popular in 2025?

An AI gadget, possibly from Meta or another company, will integrate AI in a way that makes it highly desirable and widely adopted.

Why will the smart home concept lose its appeal by 2025?

The vision of a fully interconnected smart home will fade as companies like Matter face challenges and consumers lose interest in complex setups.

Why will Google break itself up by 2025?

Google will spin off services like YouTube to mitigate regulatory pressure and create shareholder value, focusing on core businesses.

Chapters
The speaker discusses the difficulty of finding a good gift for acquaintances or colleagues, especially when the budget is limited. Starbucks gift cards are mentioned as a universally acceptable but somewhat uninspired option.
  • Difficulty of finding a good $20 gift
  • Starbucks gift cards as a common solution

Shownotes Transcript

Welcome to our two-part preview of the year to come! For the first installment, Nilay, David, and Wall Street Journal columnist Joanna Stern bring all the predictions for 2025 — their mildest, medium-est, and spiciest ideas about the year to come. Each host presents their take on TikTok bans, social platforms, smart homes, streaming services, and more, and the others get to decide whether they agree. Whoever gets the most right at the end of the year will win a big prize. (There's a points system for determining all that, but we'll figure that out later.)

Email us at [email protected]) or call us at 866-VERGE11, we love hearing from you.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices)