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cover of episode Can DOGE cut $2 trillion?

Can DOGE cut $2 trillion?

2024/12/4
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Chris Edwards
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Dylan Matthews
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主持人Sean Rameswaram介绍了背景,包括马斯克对狗狗币的推崇以及“政府效率部”的成立。分析师Dylan Matthews对马斯克和拉马斯瓦米提出的2万亿美元减支计划表示怀疑,认为这在政治上和经济上都难以实现。他详细分析了美国联邦政府的支出构成,指出社会保障、医疗保险和国防开支占据了大部分预算,几乎不可能削减。他认为,可能的减支目标是医疗补助和低收入人群的援助项目,但这在政治上将面临巨大阻力。他还指出,总统是否拥有单方面削减支出的权力仍存在争议。自由主义者Chris Edwards则认为,可以通过削减联邦政府对州和地方政府的援助来实现大幅度预算削减,并认为这将提高效率,并允许各州根据自身情况调整支出。他认为,联邦政府对州一级的援助项目过多且效率低下,削减这些项目将有助于解决财政赤字问题。 经济分析师Dylan Matthews认为,削减2万亿美元的联邦预算目标几乎不可能实现。他详细分析了美国联邦政府的支出构成,指出社会保障、医疗保险和国防开支占据了大部分预算,并且在政治上几乎不可能削减。他指出,可能的减支目标是医疗补助和低收入人群的援助项目,但这在政治上将面临巨大阻力,并且削减的规模也难以达到2万亿美元。他认为,更现实的减支规模可能在数十亿美元级别,而不是数百亿美元或数万亿美元。他还分析了总统单方面削减支出的可能性,认为这需要经过漫长的法律诉讼才能确定。 自由主义者Chris Edwards认为,可以通过削减联邦政府对州和地方政府的援助来实现大幅度预算削减。他认为,州政府有能力承担这些支出,并且这种做法将提高效率,并允许各州根据自身情况调整支出。他认为,联邦政府对州一级的援助项目过多且效率低下,削减这些项目将有助于解决财政赤字问题,并认为这种做法不会对民众生活造成重大影响。他以加拿大为例,说明联邦政府在教育领域的支出较少,但学生成绩却更好。他认为,将权力下放给州政府,可以提高政府效率。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Elon Musk interested in Dogecoin?

Elon Musk is interested in Dogecoin because it is based on a meme featuring a Shiba Inu dog, which he finds amusing. He has publicly supported and promoted the cryptocurrency, including during his Saturday Night Live appearance.

What is the Department of Government Efficiency (Doge) aiming to achieve?

The Department of Government Efficiency aims to cut $2 trillion from the federal budget, focusing on reducing inefficiencies and unnecessary spending in the federal government.

What are the largest expenditures in the U.S. federal budget?

The largest expenditures in the U.S. federal budget are Social Security ($1.3 trillion), Medicare ($839 billion), and defense spending ($805 billion). These programs are considered politically sensitive and are less likely to be targeted for cuts.

Why are aid programs for poor people more likely to be targeted for cuts?

Aid programs for poor people, such as Medicaid and food stamps, are more likely to be targeted for cuts because they are historically easier to cut than Social Security, Medicare, or defense spending, despite political opposition.

What is the libertarian view on cutting federal spending?

Libertarians advocate for eliminating federal aid programs and shifting responsibility to state governments, believing that decentralization and state autonomy can lead to more efficient and effective governance.

How does the current political climate influence the potential for budget cuts?

The current political climate, particularly the threat of inflation and its unpopularity, may push Republicans to consider spending reforms to avoid economic backlash, especially in the lead-up to midterm elections.

What is the role of corporate welfare in the context of government spending?

Corporate welfare, including subsidies to companies like SpaceX, represents a significant portion of government spending. Critics argue that such subsidies distort market competition and should be reduced to promote fair business practices.

Shownotes Transcript

Elon, Vivek and the Department of Government Efficiency want to cut $2 trillion from the federal budget. A libertarian says the only way to do it is to eliminate aid programs altogether.

This episode was produced by Haleema Shah, edited by Amina Al-Sadi, fact-checked by Kim Eggleston, engineered by Patrick Boyd and Rob Byers, and hosted by Sean Rameswaram.

Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)

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A photo illustration of Elon Musk's X account and a Dogecoin cryptocurrency. Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images.

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