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cover of episode How to win Pennsylvania

How to win Pennsylvania

2024/9/30
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Today, Explained

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Christian Paz
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Noelle King:宾夕法尼亚州的19张选举人票可能决定2024年大选结果,特朗普和哈里斯竞选团队都在积极争取该州选民。特朗普在周末的演讲中采取了一些不同寻常的策略。哈里斯和沃尔兹将进行巴士之旅,而竞选团队不会轻视任何选票,这意味着他们会争取那些通常不被认为会支持他们一方的选民。哈里斯竞选团队在宾夕法尼亚州农村地区投入资源,而特朗普则争取城市中的非裔和西裔选民。 Christian Paz和Miles Bryan:哈里斯和特朗普竞选团队都在宾夕法尼亚州投入大量资金和资源,因为该州的选情胶着,双方都在争取边缘选民。由于两党基本盘的极化和党派偏见根深蒂固,此次大选的关键在于争取边缘选民。民主党试图在共和党在农村地区赢得的优势上削减一些优势,而共和党则试图从民主党在大城市获得的巨大优势中争取一些选票。在兰开斯特县,尽管该县历史上是共和党票仓,但民主党在该县投入了大量资源,希望通过争取边缘选民来改变选情,即使短期内无法完全翻转该县的选情,但争取到的微弱优势对于赢得宾夕法尼亚州至关重要。民主党在兰开斯特县的努力正在产生连锁反应,越来越多的民主党人公开支持,不再感到孤立,这增加了争取更多选民的可能性。民主党竞选团队的基层工作人员通过温和而持续的努力,试图说服那些原本不打算投票给民主党的选民,即使短期内无法完全改变他们的想法,但持续的接触和沟通仍然很重要。特朗普竞选团队试图争取通常不会支持共和党的非裔选民,虽然他们传递的信息简洁有力,但其基层组织工作却较为混乱,而哈里斯竞选团队则组织有序,但信息传递较为复杂。两者的策略都存在风险。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Both the Harris and Trump campaigns are heavily invested in Pennsylvania, recognizing its pivotal role in the 2024 election. They are focusing on winning over voters in non-traditional areas, with Democrats targeting rural regions and Republicans focusing on urban centers.
  • Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes are crucial for the 2024 election.
  • Both campaigns are actively campaigning and investing resources in Pennsylvania.
  • Democrats aim to improve their margins in rural areas, while Republicans target urban voters.

Shownotes Transcript

Vox’s Christian Paz and Miles Bryan head to Philadelphia and Lancaster to see what the Harris and Trump campaigns are doing to win the state.

This episode was produced by Miles Bryan, edited by Amina Al-Sadi, fact-checked by Laura Bullard and Victoria Chamberlin, engineered by Andrea Kristinsdottir and Rob Byers, and hosted by Noel King.

Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)

Support Today, Explained by becoming a Vox Member today: http://www.vox.com/members)

Trump speaking in Erie, PA this weekend. Photo by DUSTIN FRANZ/AFP via Getty Images.

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