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Andrew Prokop
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Noelle King
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Shelby Talcott
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Andrew Prokop:特朗普的再次当选并非由于其个人魅力或政纲,而是拜登政府的低支持率和民众对通货膨胀、经济状况以及边境问题的普遍不满情绪造成的。哈里斯的竞选策略也未能有效应对这些问题,她未能充分利用拜登政府的成就,也没有清晰地表明她将如何与拜登政府有所不同。特朗普在堕胎问题上采取了谨慎态度,避免了这一问题对其竞选造成负面影响。选民对现状的不满以及对改变的渴望,最终导致了特朗普的胜利。特朗普面临的联邦指控很可能被撤销,这将进一步巩固其权力。虽然特朗普的胜选并不代表其拥有明确的执政授权,但他赢得普选,并且共和党控制参议院,这将影响其未来四年的施政。 Shelby Talcott:特朗普的竞选团队对选举结果充满信心。特朗普对胜选感到惊讶,并将其称为历史上最伟大的胜利。他当选后,预计会实施关税政策,这可能导致短期内物价上涨。他还计划延长2017年的减税政策,并降低企业税率,这可能会引发争议。在移民问题上,他承诺大规模驱逐非法移民,但这面临诸多挑战。特朗普与“2025计划”保持距离,并可能禁止与该计划相关的人员进入白宫。他计划缩减联邦政府规模,并取消公务员的保护。特朗普的此次竞选活动比以往更具组织性,并吸取了以往的教训,这表明他可能对未来四年的执政有更清晰的规划。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did Donald Trump win the presidency in 2024?

The election was largely influenced by President Joe Biden's unpopularity, with many voters expressing dissatisfaction with his performance, particularly regarding inflation.

What were some of the key factors that contributed to Biden's unpopularity?

Biden faced significant backlash over issues like inflation, which had a lingering and enduring impact on public sentiment throughout the election year.

What is Schedule F and how does it relate to Trump's plans for the federal government?

Schedule F is a proposal to strip civil service protections from many career federal workers, allowing for more loyalists to be brought into the White House. This policy was discussed during Trump's first term and is part of his broader plan to overhaul and reduce the size of the federal government.

How did Trump's campaign organization differ in 2024 compared to his previous campaigns?

Trump's 2024 campaign was more organized, with experienced staff who had been through the process before, making them better prepared to implement his plans and navigate legal challenges.

What are some of the long-term proposals discussed for rehauling the federal government under a Trump administration?

Proposals include eliminating the Department of Education and returning certain federal powers to the states, reflecting a broader conservative agenda to decentralize federal authority.

Chapters
The chapter discusses the factors that led to Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, focusing on voter dissatisfaction with Joe Biden's administration and the Democratic Party's challenges.
  • Voter dissatisfaction with Joe Biden's unpopularity and handling of key issues like inflation and immigration.
  • Kamala Harris's struggle to distance herself from Biden's poor approval ratings.
  • Trump's strategic avoidance of the abortion issue, which was problematic for Republicans in 2022.

Shownotes Transcript

Donald Trump won. Vox’s Andrew Prokop explains how and Semafor’s Shelby Talcott explains what comes next.

Today’s show was produced by Amanda Lewellyn and Miles Bryan with help from Avishay Artsy, Victoria Chamberlin and Eliza Dennis, edited by Amina Al-Sadi with help from Matt Collette, fact-checked by Laura Bullard, engineered by Patrick Boyd and Rob Byers, hosted by Sean Rameswaram and Noel King.

Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)

Support Today, Explained by becoming a Vox Member today: http://www.vox.com/members)

Photo by CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images.

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