Trump is threatening tariffs to pressure Canada and Mexico into stopping the flow of migrants and fentanyl across the border. The tariffs would remain in effect until these issues are resolved.
Canadians were offended by being compared to Mexico, while Mexicans found the comparison rude but acknowledged the shared pressure from Trump's threats.
Trudeau visited Mar-a-Lago to discuss Trump's tariff threats and seek clarity on the situation, aiming to mitigate potential trade disruptions.
Trump's comment was seen as a dismissive remark, implying that Canada is subordinate to the U.S., which was perceived as rude by Canadians.
Mexico is heavily dependent on the U.S. market, with 80% of its exports going to the U.S. Such tariffs could push Mexico into a recession and disrupt trade significantly.
Mexicans are deeply nationalistic and remember past U.S. invasions. They would strongly oppose any unilateral military action, which could severely damage U.S.-Mexico relations.
Mexico has tried to engage diplomatically, with President Claudia Sheinbaum speaking to Trump twice and emphasizing cooperation. They are also preparing to protect Mexican citizens in the U.S. from potential deportations.
López Obrador managed to establish a surprisingly good relationship with Trump by complying with his demands on migration, which allowed him to avoid further U.S. interference in other areas.
The tariffs could raise prices for U.S. consumers and disrupt supply chains, affecting industries like automotive and agriculture. For example, Mexican-made pickups could become $3,000 more expensive.
Canada has threatened retaliatory measures, such as cutting off energy supplies to U.S. states like Michigan and New York, which would impact over 1 million homes.
NAFTA was renegotiated into the USMCA, which was perceived as more favorable to the U.S. However, Trump is now threatening new tariffs, suggesting he may not be satisfied with the previous agreement.
The agreement ensures that asylum seekers arriving at official border crossings are turned away and sent back to the U.S., addressing irregular migrant crossings between the two countries.
President-elect Trump says he can see Justin Trudeau becoming governor of “the great state of Canada.” It’s part of a pressure campaign to get big concessions on trade and immigration from Canada and Mexico.
This episode was produced by Haleema Shah, edited by Matt Collette, fact-checked by Laura Bullard and Victoria Chamberlin, engineered by Patrick Boyd and Andrea Kristinsdottir, and hosted by Sean Rameswaram.
Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)
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Plaster figurines of Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, and Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum for sale at a crossing in Tijuana, Mexico. Photo by GUILLERMO ARIAS/AFP via Getty Images.
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