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Israel attacks Iran

2025/6/13
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World in 10

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Samer Al-Atrush
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Samer Al-Atrush: 以色列对伊朗发动的袭击旨在摧毁其核设施,虽然初期破坏可能较为有限,但袭击预计会持续数天,目标包括核设施、导弹发射场和无人机发射场等。此次袭击的规模和目标都前所未有,不仅针对核设施,还包括住宅区、高级军事领导人和核科学家。以色列有能力独自进行此次袭击,但美国可能提供了情报支持。关于伊朗距离拥有核武器还有多久,各方说法不一,但普遍认为伊朗拥有快速将铀浓缩至武器级别的能力。除了军事行动外,与伊朗达成协议,允许更多联合国检查,并提供制裁减免,也是阻止其发展核武器的一种方法。然而,即使摧毁了核设施,伊朗的核武器计划仍然可以重建,除非持续遭到轰炸或发生政权更迭。此次袭击可能促使伊朗将铀转移到秘密地点,加速制造核弹。以色列选择此时采取行动,更多的是基于他们认为存在一个可以侥幸逃脱的‘机会之窗’,而不是因为伊朗即将制造出核武器。伊朗目前面临艰难抉择,要么屈服于美国的要求拆除核设施,要么采取升级行动,但升级可能对该政权来说是自杀行为。 Toby Seeley: (无核心论点,主要为引导访谈) Tom Noonan: (无核心论点,主要为引导访谈)

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After days of speculation, Israel has launched a major attack on Iran. 200 jets carried out airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites and targeting senior military figures. Israel says it had to act to stop Iran developing a nuclear weapon, and argues this military attack is its only choice. The Times’ Middle East correspondent Samer Al-Atrush explains why Israel has struck now, and what happens next.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

Watch more: www.youtube.com/@ListenToTimesRadio 

Read more: www.thetimes.com

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