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cover of episode All Things with Kim Strassel: The Ones Who Got it Right in 2024

All Things with Kim Strassel: The Ones Who Got it Right in 2024

2024/12/24
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WSJ Opinion: Potomac Watch

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Ted Cruz
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Tim Sheehy
Topics
Ted Cruz:共和党需要关注过度支出问题,并与那些对两党都感到失望的选民建立联系。他认为,解决经济问题和移民问题对赢得选举至关重要。他还谈到了如何争取那些对特朗普的言辞不感冒的郊区女性选民。 Cruz强调了财政保守主义的重要性,批评了民主党在支出问题上的立场,并指出两党合作的局限性。他认为,选民对两党的过度支出感到沮丧,而共和党需要以此为切入点,争取更多选民的支持。他还谈到了针对关键选民群体的策略,例如那些对特朗普的言辞不感冒的郊区女性选民,以及如何通过强调他们关心的问题(如通货膨胀、经济和移民)来争取他们的支持。 Tim Sheehy:蒙大拿州的选民虽然独立,但他们现在更倾向于保守政策。长期担任参议员的民主党候选人Tester的投票记录与民主党完全一致,这使得他难以与选民产生共鸣。Sheehy认为,选民越来越关注国家层面的问题,例如通货膨胀、移民和利率,而这些问题对地方也产生了影响。 Sheehy指出,Tester试图将竞选焦点放在地方问题上,例如农业、公共土地使用和住房,以试图与选民拉近距离。然而,Sheehy认为,这些地方问题实际上是国家政策失败的结果,例如通货膨胀和移民问题导致的住房成本上升。他认为,选民最终会意识到这一点,并支持共和党的政策。 Scott Rasmussen和Ralph Reed:通货膨胀和移民是主要的民意焦点问题,而一些文化问题(例如变性运动员参加女子体育运动)可能成为影响民主党选情的“沉睡议题”。共和党可以通过提高福音派选民的投票率来赢得选举。 Rasmussen和Reed都强调了选民情绪和投票率对选举结果的重要性。他们认为,通货膨胀和经济问题是选民最关心的问题,而移民问题也是一个重要的因素。此外,他们还指出,一些文化问题,例如变性运动员参加女子体育运动,可能对民主党产生负面影响。Reed还详细介绍了Faith and Freedom Coalition的竞选动员工作,包括挨家挨户的宣传、发送短信和分发选民指南等,旨在提高福音派选民的投票率。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What key issues did Ted Cruz highlight as critical for Republicans to address in the 2024 election?

Ted Cruz emphasized fiscal conservatism, criticizing out-of-control spending and debt as bipartisan problems. He also highlighted the need to connect with suburban women, focusing on issues like inflation, the economy, and immigration to persuade swing voters.

How did Tim Sheehy describe the challenge of winning over split-ticket voters in Montana?

Tim Sheehy noted that Montana has a history of split-ticket voting, with voters supporting Republicans for president but Democrats for Senate. He attributed this to the crafted political image of his opponent, John Tester, and emphasized the need to highlight Tester's voting record with the Biden administration and his impeachment votes against Trump.

What sleeper issues did Scott Rasmussen identify as potential game-changers in the 2024 election?

Scott Rasmussen identified cultural issues, such as biological males competing in women's sports, as potential sleeper issues. He noted that only 14% of voters support this policy, and it could create the perception of Kamala Harris as a radical progressive Democrat.

What was Ralph Reed's strategy for mobilizing evangelical voters in the 2024 election?

Ralph Reed's strategy included knocking on 10 million doors, sending 28 million text messages, and distributing 30 million voter guides in churches. The goal was to educate voters on key issues like taxes, the economy, and immigration, and to increase turnout by 5-10% in battleground states.

Why did Ted Cruz criticize the CHIPS and Science Act despite supporting semiconductor manufacturing?

Ted Cruz supported the semiconductor manufacturing provisions of the CHIPS and Science Act but criticized the $60 billion in direct taxpayer payments to large corporations, which he viewed as corporate welfare. He also highlighted delays in environmental permitting for new semiconductor plants.

How did Tim Sheehy link national policies to local issues in Montana?

Tim Sheehy argued that national policies, such as inflation, immigration, and high interest rates, have direct local impacts in Montana, including rising housing costs and crime. He emphasized that these issues stem from failed national policies of the Biden administration.

What role did Ralph Reed predict Hispanic voters would play in the 2024 election?

Ralph Reed predicted a significant shift among Hispanic voters, particularly those of faith, in the 2024 election. He noted that Donald Trump was either leading or within the margin of error among Hispanic voters in national polls, which could impact key states like Nevada, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania.

Chapters
This chapter analyzes the Republican Party's strategies in the 2024 elections, focusing on Senator Ted Cruz's insights into connecting with key demographics. It discusses the challenges of addressing voter fatigue with both parties and the importance of messaging to swing voters.
  • Republican strategies focused on addressing voter fatigue with both parties and economic concerns.
  • Messaging targeted swing voters, particularly suburban women, highlighting issues like inflation and immigration.
  • Early voting strategies and their impact on election results are discussed.

Shownotes Transcript

On this episode of All Things, Kim Strassel looks back at some of the podcast’s 2024 all-stars, including candidates who correctly predicted their own victories, as well as at experts who called the issues that would lead Donald Trump to the White House and a Republican majority in both the House and Senate. Guests include Sen. Ted Cruz, Senator-elect Tim Sheehy, pollster Scott Rasmussen and Faith and Freedom Coalition Founder and Chairman Ralph Reed. 

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