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World Bank Says U.S. Economic Growth to Halve This Year
2025/6/10
WSJ What’s News
A
Alex Osola
A
Anne Tergesen
K
Katie Stetsch-Ferrick
P
Paul Hannan
P
President Trump
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Alex Osola: 世界银行预测美国经济增长将大幅放缓，从1月份预测的2.3%降至1.4%，这主要是由于特朗普总统的关税政策。全球经济也将受到影响，但程度较轻。我认为关税政策对经济的影响是显而易见的，我们需要关注其长期影响。
Paul Hannan: 世界银行最初预计美国会减税和放松经济管制，但关税政策出台迅速，导致他们不得不重新评估。我认为关税将对美国和全球经济增长产生重大影响，特别是对墨西哥等国家。虽然中国可能通过增加投资来抵消部分影响，但整体而言，关税带来的不确定性仍然很高。我建议各国政府通过谈判来消除贸易壁垒，以维护全球贸易的稳定。
Deep Dive
The World Bank predicts that the U.S. economic growth in 2025 will be half of what it was in 2024, mainly due to President Trump's tariff policy. This slowdown will have significant global spillover effects, particularly impacting Mexico, although China's growth forecast remains unchanged. The World Bank recommends that governments resolve trade disputes to stabilize the global economy.
- U.S. economic growth in 2025 is predicted to be half of 2024's rate (1.4% vs 2.8%),
- President Trump's tariffs are the primary cause for the predicted slowdown.
- Significant global spillover effects, especially in Mexico.
- China's growth forecast remains unchanged.
- World Bank recommends eliminating trade differences to stabilize the global economy.
Shownotes Transcript