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cover of episode 315 - May Contain Lies - Alex Edmans

315 - May Contain Lies - Alex Edmans

2025/6/9
logo of podcast You Are Not So Smart

You Are Not So Smart

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David McCraney:推理是认知的基础,我们的大脑通过感官输入和心理模型,结合先前的经验和知识,不断进行猜测和预测。这种猜测并非总是准确,但它帮助我们快速理解和应对复杂的世界。大脑会根据已有的经验来消除歧义,并依赖于“说得通就停止规则”来简化决策过程。然而,这种简化也可能导致我们停止寻找更多信息,从而产生错误的认知和判断。因此,我们需要意识到推理的局限性,并不断反思和修正我们的假设。

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Alex Edmans, a professor of finance at London Business School, tells us how to avoid the Ladder of Misinference by examining how narratives, statistics, and articles can mislead, especially when they align with our preconceived notions and confirm what we believe is true, assume is true, and wish were true.

Alex Edmans )

May Contain Lies)

What to Test in a Post Trust World)

How Minds Change)

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