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cover of episode Uber CEO Talks Driverless Car Growth and Earnings

Uber CEO Talks Driverless Car Growth and Earnings

2025/5/7
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Bloomberg Technology

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Dara Khosrowshahi
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我将讨论优步本季度的业绩报告,以及自动驾驶汽车如何日益融入优步的业务。本季度优步的增长与上一季度保持一致,总行程数达到30亿次,同比增长18%。但总预订量增长有所放缓,主要原因是价格调整。我们通过降低价格(特别是美国保险成本上涨导致的价格上涨)来促进增长,同时用户数量增长14%,使用频率增长3%。我们通过多种措施降低了价格上涨,例如为司机提供安全驾驶奖励、利用部分州的保险改革等。第一季度我们的定价与去年同期持平,而上一季度同比增长了4%。这对于消费者来说是健康的,并且提高了盈利能力(EBITDA达到19亿美元,同比增长35%)。我们已经将价格上涨的部分传递给了消费者和企业,但仍然致力于为消费者提供日常低价,以促进平台使用频率的增长。Uber One会员计划通过提供折扣来提高用户参与度和平台使用频率,从而促进长期增长。Uber One会员计划最终会提高盈利能力,因为会员的平均消费额更高。Uber One会员虽然会降低短期利润率,但会员的交易频率和消费额显著提高(是普通用户的3倍,留存率高15%)。Uber One会员经常同时使用Uber的出行和外卖服务,并通过引入体验式福利(例如机场优先派车)来进一步提高用户粘性。Uber One会员计划从长期来看,能够促进收入增长、预订量增长和盈利能力增长。Uber的机场业务和旅游业务增长强劲,机场行程通常更优质,但国际旅客来美的数量减少对业务造成了一定影响。Uber在全球范围内的业务布局使其能够捕捉到国际旅客的出行需求,即使他们没有来美国,也可能在其他国家使用Uber服务。Uber的大部分增长都是有机增长,公司在全球70多个国家建立了业务,并在欧洲重建了业务,Uber Eats也是有机增长的。Uber的全球化布局和多平台战略使其具有竞争优势,能够与规模较小的本地竞争对手竞争。我们更倾向于自主创新而不是收购,这与其持续创新的企业文化相符。我们看好自动驾驶技术,并与Waymo建立了合作伙伴关系,认为自动驾驶汽车将比人类驾驶更安全。我们认为Waymo和丰田的合作对Uber平台有利,因为Uber可以作为分销商,提高自动驾驶汽车的使用率。在奥斯汀与Waymo的合作中,我们观察到自动驾驶汽车的使用率非常高,高于99%的人类司机。目前奥斯汀自动驾驶汽车的行程数量在Uber总行程中占比仍然较小,但随着车辆数量的增加,这一比例将会提高。目前自动驾驶汽车的商业化利润率低于Uber核心业务,但我们认为这是对创新的投资。我们将继续投资自动驾驶技术,同时保持盈利增长。我们将通过投资和合作的方式来建设自动驾驶汽车生态系统,例如与车队合作伙伴合作建设充电设施和维修中心。我们相信自己可以在价值链中扮演关键角色,并对自动驾驶汽车生态系统的未来发展充满信心。我们正在开发Uber AI Solutions业务,利用平台上的用户数据来训练AI模型,并提供其他AI服务。我们与中国的自动驾驶公司(如滴滴和百度)保持着良好的关系,并希望在合适的市场与他们合作。我们计划与中国的自动驾驶公司在欧洲、中东和其他地区合作。我们没有发现美国品牌形象受损对其国际用户造成任何影响。Uber的业务模式使其能够与当地社区紧密联系,这有助于其抵御国际局势变化的影响。

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I think, you know, the streets kind of myopically focused on growth, the slowdown in growth.

But I think what's interesting about Uber and its multiple offerings, right, is that that can be different in different geographies. Was there somewhere specifically in the world where ride sharing slowed down and you can identify a reason for it? Or there were pockets where you were stronger in particular businesses in certain countries around the world?

Well, actually, the growth for us this quarter has been remarkably consistent with the last quarter. Trip growth, trips came in 3 billion trips in the quarter, which is a pretty extraordinary number, up 18% on a year-on-year basis. Where you did see a slowdown is on gross bookings growth. Gross bookings growth slowed down a bit from Q4, and that was essentially because of price. We think as a company, the

best way to grow is to increase audience, increase your frequency. Our audience was up 14 percent. Frequency was up 3 percent. But as we saw the opportunity to reduce increases in pricing, especially as it related to insurance costs in the U.S.,

which have been increasing at pretty extraordinary rates. It forces to pass on those cost increases to consumers. We're seeing the increase in insurance costs start to modulate. We now give incentives to our drivers to drive more safely. We give them a safety score, so to speak. There has been some insurance reform in a couple of states, and that's essentially allowed us

to reduce any increases in pricing. Pricing was flat year on year in Q1 versus last quarter where it was up 4%. We think that's actually very healthy for the consumer. And what we're able to do is not pass on these price increases

but really increased profitability profitability was you know 1.9 billion dollars in ebitda up 35 year-on-year record free cash flow as well uh so we're very very happy with the growth that we're seeing and hopefully there'll be more to come let's just talk about the levers to pull in the growth that you're seeing and indeed in margins because this economic environment doesn't make it feel like any more pricing can be passed on to a consumer is that what you're feeling

Well, it's not. I do think that we have passed on pricing to the consumer and the business, as you have seen, has scaled really well. We just want to do everything that we can to keep everyday low prices for the consumer, both in mobility and delivery, to really drive that frequency growth. Frequency now, in terms of engagement with our platform, is six transactions per month on average.

It continues to grow. And for example, one of the areas that we're really focused on is our Uber One membership program. We got over 30 million members. It gives you a discount to use Uber more. So again, the more we can pass on discounts to the consumers, the more they become attached to the platform, both in rides and delivery, the better long-term growth we've got ahead of us.

Dara, I'm a loyal Uber One subscriber. Thank you. I think I see the net benefit, right, on top of what I spend to be one. And I'm in that key category of U.S. ride share, which is so profitable for you. What I think would help the audience understand Uber's benefits

business better is, is that something that boosts margins for you, Uber One? Or is it another incentive? I also get sort of the Amex credit card benefit each month, right? And it's really hard to understand that as a mechanism for Uber to drive profit, or if you're just giving more away.

Well, it absolutely is driving profit in that the average consumer becomes more profitable for us in dollar terms once they become a member. So members are worth more. It is driving long-term profit.

profitability now there is a hit to profit margins right which is the or that consumer were passing on savings to you and what happens is is that the the uber one member starts transacting much more on average about uber one members transact three times more than non-members

They retain 15% higher. They tend to cross-shop a lot more. About half of our Uber One members use both our mobility product and our delivery product as well. But they're doing so because of the savings. But then what we're doing now is we're also introducing experiential benefits.

So you get priority dispatch, for example, in airports as a benefit of being an Uber One member. So when you look long-term, it absolutely is driving revenue growth, it's driving bookings growth, it's driving...

profitability growth, but we do give up some margins to that member to keep them kind of working with us. And we're definitely seeing it in terms of frequency and the amount of spend on a platform. Dara, let's talk about airports. Let's talk about international travelers a little bit more because the Americans are traveling and they're spending elsewhere and you'll see it coming up in your data. What about people coming here in America? And are you seeing Canadians, others starting to shun trips?

Yeah, so our airports business and travel business continues to be a real star in our portfolio. Airports has consistently been growing. Airport trips tend to be more premium, so you have more comfort cars or black cars as well. But we are seeing an effect in terms of the international traveler coming into the U.S., Canada, for example, Canada travel coming into the U.S.,

was weaker than Canada travel to other parts of the world. The great thing about our position is, you know, we're kind of capturing that business anyway. If they go to the UK, if they go to France, if they go to many of the countries in which we operate, we're still going to, they're still going to be Uber customers and they're still going to get that airport pickup. But those airport pickups internationally are growing faster than the airport pickups locally. We are seeing that trend.

I want to go global a little bit more as well when it comes to potential M&A opportunities, because we're looking at what's just occurred in the UK. DoorDash snapping up delivery, for example. You're talking about the cross-pollination of driver to delivery. Are you thinking doubling down on delivery anymore in organic growth rather than just organic?

well i think what's uh... a great accomplishment of the team here in uber is that the vast majority of our growth has been organically we established ourselves globally and now seventy plus country uh... countries organically rebuilt our european business from the ground up we started the business there and we also started uber eats organically as well so the capability of this team to innovate and to be a big-scale company but then grow businesses from scratch is

pretty extraordinary we now see we've always said that the advantage that we have as a company is we are global innate uh... in nature we compete with a bunch of sub-scale local players and

we're multi-platform. We have both rides and the Eats business feeding each other with this Uber One membership program that is really second to none. And we're seeing the competitors having to go out and acquire companies inorganically. I think it shows that our strategy is working. I'd always rather innovate than buy. And I think Uber is the kind of company that is continuing to innovate in all the sectors that we're in.

That applies to autonomous driving or a future robo-taxi service, right? Uber positions itself as a distribution platform and fleet manager. So in the first instance, Dara, how do you react to that partnership between Waymo and Toyota? And how do you think that that will serve Uber's platform going forward? Yeah, we absolutely believe in the power of partnership and we're incredibly bullish about that.

the possibilities of of av you know this is going to be a multi-trillion dollar opportunity avs are going to be safer than humans we absolutely believe we need superhuman safety as it relates to avs and we have a great partnership with waymo waymo uh

uh... for us we watch in austin it's been an incredibly successful partnership we're about to launch in atlanta as well so when we see these partnerships of way more let's say what to yoda to bring the way mode driver to you know hopefully every single toyota or personally owned vehicles we think that's a great thing it's a great thing in terms of vehicles being safer on the streets but to the extent that those toyotas are bought by fleets

We think that we as a distribution partner can really drive the most utilization. We think those autonomous Toyotas could be on the Uber network. And based on what we're seeing in Austin with Waymo, if they're on the Uber network, they are going to be super, super busy.

What are you seeing in Austin as a case study, Dara, in terms of the percentage of rides completed in that geofence geography that are robo-taxi versus human-driven? And it's an expensive enterprise, but what's the margin profile like of an autonomous ride versus a human-driven ride?

Yeah, absolutely. So we're very encouraged by the launch. It is still early. We have about 100 vehicles on the road, and that's increasing every week as the operations continue to evolve. What we're seeing is very, very high utilization of these vehicles. The average Waymo vehicle on Uber is busier than 99% of human drivers in terms of completed trips per vehicle per week.

which is pretty extraordinary and we think that there's a potential for it to grow. As a percentage of our total rides, it's still a small percentage, but that's because we don't have enough vehicles on the road. So I think as the vehicle count expands, it will be a higher percentage of our overall business. And then in terms of margins, today,

autonomous vehicles are very expensive. Uh, we invest along with Uber significantly in safety. So the margins of autonomous vehicle in terms of the commercialization of business are lower than the margins of our base business. But we always believe that you've got to invest in innovation. You know, Uber eats started as an unprofitable enterprise for years. Uh,

Now it's making billions of dollars. Margins continue to increase. So at the beginning stages of any enterprise and partnership, you've got to invest. We are in investment mode and autonomous. And with a portfolio that we can have,

We can invest in innovation, but at the same time deliver record-breaking profits, you know, quarter after quarter, year after year. How do you want to place yourself in that value chain as well a little bit, Dara? Because you're very asset-light, but will you have to invest more in the infrastructure and the offering of charging? And also, you're going outside of the realm of mobility to offer your AI services, for example, as well. How much more do you want to add on and make there?

Well, it is. We are very asset light and we are going to both invest and partner in some of these areas. So, for example, we have fleet partners who focus on charging these, the vehicles, repairing in terms of having depots, etc. It will be a combination for us of both investment, direct investment and

and partnerships as we build this ecosystem. Again, this is going to be a trillion-dollar-plus ecosystem, and I think we can play a key role

part in the development of that ecosystem. And you're absolutely right. We're very, very excited about the power of AI in multiple dimensions. And we do have a really promising business that we're building, Uber AI Solutions, where actually we're using our drivers and other experts, for example, to rate models. We can operate this globally.

We've got over eight and a half million people earning on our platform, and we're just extending that platform, not just to draw folks around, not just to deliver, but also train AI models, translate language, et cetera. We think it's a really, really exciting new business that we're building with our partners as well.

Let's just go to that global footprint for a moment, because you recently increased your partnership with Reride, which is over in China, for example. It's about expanding in Europe and other countries from an AV perspective. But how easy or hard is it to make deals with the Chinese right now in this geopolitical environment?

Well, it's a, we ride has been a terrific partner. I wouldn't generalize in terms of the Chinese, you know, the, we have terrific relation relationships with re-ride with pony. We've had a really, really promising talks with Baidu as well. The fact is that these Chinese companies are run by entrepreneurs.

who want to grow, who want to innovate, and they're innovating at incredible speed. And we want to be part of that innovation, and we want to grow in partnership in the right markets. I do think that we will be working with Chinese AV players in Europe, in the Middle East, in the rest of the world. And then obviously here in the U.S., we want to be partnering up with local players like Waymo.

And lastly, it's a sensitive one, Dara, but we talked about how, well, perhaps there are fewer travelers coming from Canada into the United States. As such a pin-up U.S. brand, are you finding any reticence geographically from international users in this time where perhaps, well, America's brand is getting hit a little bit, it feels?

It's something that we've asked ourselves, but we don't see any signal there whatsoever. And I think what's great about Uber is that we're the ultimate local company. Yes, we're a global brand. But the fact is that when you get into that car, you're getting into a car with a local entrepreneur,

the majority of the fare goes to uh to drivers as well so we are kind of the flow of funds is very very local we work with the local merchants in your city so it's not only local in terms of countries but it's actually local in terms of the cities in which we operate we are you know the ultimate global local company if you want to call it that and i think it shows in the results

And, you know, we're big believers in the U.S. brand. We're obviously going through a period of change. But long term, we absolutely believe that the relationship between the U.S. and the rest of the world will continue to be strong. And we want to be a part of that. Hiscox Small Business Insurance knows there is no business like your business. Across America, over 600,000 small businesses, from accountants and architects to photographers and yoga instructors, look to Hiscox Insurance constantly.

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