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cover of episode U.S. Ties Trade Pressure to Starlink Approvals in Push Against China

U.S. Ties Trade Pressure to Starlink Approvals in Push Against China

2025/5/9
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Elon Musk Podcast

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Will Walden: 我深入探讨了美国政府如何利用贸易压力,特别是通过施加关税,来促使其他国家批准SpaceX的Starlink卫星互联网服务许可。这不仅仅是一场商业交易,更是一场关乎地缘政治和国际影响力的博弈。莱索托就是一个典型的例子,在面临美国关税压力后,迅速批准了Starlink的许可,这表明美国政府正在利用Starlink作为一种策略工具,来影响其他国家的决策。 这种模式在多个国家重复出现,包括印度、索马里、巴基斯坦、孟加拉国、越南和刚果民主共和国等。这些国家在面临美国经济压力后,纷纷与Starlink达成协议。美国大使馆和国务院官员积极游说外国政府批准Starlink,甚至在官方文件中明确提及Starlink,这表明美国政府将Starlink的扩张与国家安全利益直接挂钩。 印度的案例尤其值得关注,为了与美国重新谈判贸易条款,印度加快了Starlink的审批流程,这清楚地表明Starlink许可证已成为贸易谈判中的重要筹码。美国将中国和俄罗斯的卫星服务视为潜在威胁,因此积极推动Starlink进入市场,以对抗竞争对手,维护自身在全球互联网基础设施领域的领导地位。 尽管白宫否认与Elon Musk的政治影响力存在利益冲突,但马斯克对特朗普阵营的巨额捐款以及他在SpaceX和Dogecoin的地位,使得这种说法难以令人信服。外国官员也难以区分美国官方利益和马斯克的商业野心,这导致了紧张关系。 柬埔寨的案例进一步证明了美国政府将Starlink作为贸易谈判筹码的策略。在面临美国关税后,柬埔寨被游说批准Starlink,并为福特汽车提供免税待遇。马里和土耳其的案例也显示了美国政府积极推动Starlink扩张的努力。 Starlink的国际扩张具有巨大的经济利益,尤其是在印度、拉丁美洲和撒哈拉以南非洲等市场。美国国务院长期以来对基于卫星的互联网接入感兴趣,但在特朗普政府时期,对Starlink的支持更加明显。非洲国家在特朗普政府时期比之前政府时期更频繁地批准Starlink许可证,这表明非洲官员认为马斯克的兴趣与美国的努力密切相关。 对于发展中国家来说,Starlink提供了更快的互联网服务,但其许可证审批与贸易压力相结合,引发了关于透明度和公平性的问题。纳税人的外交资金被用来促成有利于少数人的交易,同时推进地缘政治目标,这引发了关于政府行为的伦理问题。美国将与中国的技术竞争视为零和博弈,并优先考虑互联网基础设施作为战略资源,这反映了地缘政治竞争对美国外交政策的影响。批准Starlink许可证的国家向美国发出了愿意合作的信号,这表明控制连接性在国际关系中变得越来越重要。

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Hi, everybody. Welcome back to the show. Now, on this episode, we unpack how the U.S. government is pressuring foreign nations to approve Elon Musk's Starlink in exchange for favorable trade terms. Why developing countries are using Starlink licenses to deflect tariffs and how this strategy complicates U.S. diplomacy amid growing competition with China in global intercontinentalism.

internet infrastructure. Also, we're going to explain why the State Department is naming Starlink in official cables and what role Trump allies are playing in these efforts and how regulatory pressure blends with geopolitical goals. And we're also going to examine how these moves are being interpreted by foreign leaders, especially in Africa and Asia, and what this means for Starlink's expansion plans. Welcome to the Elon Musk podcast. I'm your host, Will Walden.

Your ultimate authority for daily Elon Musk news. Exploring the world's biggest ideas with your host, Will Walden. There's something new every day.

Now on March 28th, 2024 officials in Lesotho awarded Elon Musk Sterling a 10 year satellite internet license. Now just two weeks earlier, the Trump administration had imposed a 50% tariff on their exports to the US. The decision came during early stage negotiations over a new trade agreement between the two countries.

The Lesotho Communications Authority hosted Starlink executives in a meeting shortly after the tariff announcement. Internal memos from the U.S. State Department revealed that Lesotho hoped the license would demonstrate goodwill during trade talks. The cable stated that the move showed intent to welcome U.S. businesses, specifically Starlink. That pattern has repeated in at least seven countries since Trump's return to office.

Starlink struck distribution deals in India and gained traction in Somalia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, and the Democratic Republic of Congo, and potentially others. These deals often coincided with new tariffs or economic pressure from the U.S., according to internal diplomatic cables reviewed by the Washington Post.

U.S. embassies and State Department officials have actively lobbied for Starlink approvals in foreign nations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio signed at least two official communications instructing U.S. diplomats to promote satellite firms, naming Starlink explicitly.

In a March 28th action memo, Rubio said global regulatory support was essential to preserving Starlink's first mover advantage. In one such case, India's fast-tracked Starlink regulatory process while also renegotiating trade terms with the U.S. According to international sources familiar with India's decision-making, Indian leaders viewed Starlink's entry as a lubricant for the talks.

Though not formally part of trade negotiations, Starlink's access was strategically positioned as a gesture toward Washington. Rubio's diplomatic memos framed Chinese and Russian satellite services as threats to U.S. national security. They argued that American firms needed help entering markets before competitors gained footholds.

Officials cited by name in nearly every single memo, even as they promoted a general preference for U.S. satellite services. The Trump White House denied any conflict of interest related to Musk's involvement. Musk donated $277 million to Trump-aligned candidates and currently leads the U.S. Doge service, though he announced plans to step down. The White House said the only priority in trade deals was protecting American economic interests.

However, the optics around Musk's political influence have created some tension. Foreign officials are finding it difficult to separate U.S. official interests from U.S. Musk's business ambitions, and analysts point to the timing and coordination between two trade pressure and Starlink license approvals as strong signals of implicit pressure.

Now, in Cambodia, the connection between tariffs and Starlink approvals was even clearer. On April 2nd, Trump slapped a 49% tariff on Cambodian goods. The next day, U.S. business representatives in Cambodia urged local officials to offer Starlink access and duty-free entry for Ford vehicles to restore trade ties. Now, even before the tariff, though,

The embassy documented Cambodia's consideration of Starlink as a trade balancing tool. Cables dated March 28th showed local officials were exploring Starlink access to signal alignment with the U.S. government, and the embassy noted the Cambodian government wanted to promote Boeing and Starlink to avoid economic penalties.

Meanwhile, in Mali, embassy staff reported the local authorities were building a regulatory framework to bring Starlink into the country. Embassy personnel said they had already identified a company preparing to launch a local Starlink franchise. The memo noted that the embassy's internal deal team was actively assisting the process.

And in Turkey, embassy staff delivered talking points directly from Rubio's memo to senior space agency officials. Turkish regulators had already expressed interest in services like Starlink and Amazon's Project Kuiper, and the cable recorded the meeting and described it as part of an ongoing U.S. effort to push satellite internet diplomacy.

There's other similar campaigns underway and other countries have pledged to continue to follow up on Starlink. Musk's satellite business has enormous financial stakes in this international expansion.

According to Quilty Space, a firm specializing in satellite marketing research, internet company Starlink could generate $1 billion annually for just 1% of India's broadband market. Comparable growth potential exists in parts of Latin America and sub-Saharan Africa. Now, the State Department of the United States has a longstanding interest in satellite-based internet access.

Under President Biden, Secretary Antony Blinken signed a cable supporting low-Earth orbit or LEO satellite vendors as alternatives to traditional ISPs. The cable, issued in December, said 50 U.S. embassies already used LEO satellites.

and more would follow. Blinken's cable did not favor Starlink exclusively. It said the department would expand access to other vendors as they became available. However, since Trump's return, diplomatic cables increasingly reference Starlink by name and urge officials to advocate for its market entry. WQA, more of the Center for Global Departments, said African nations are approving Starlink licenses more frequently under Trump

than during the previous administration. He explained that many African officials perceive Musk's interest as deeply intertwined with U.S. diplomatic efforts. Now, that perception, he said, affects how countries make licensing decisions.

Now, for everyday people in these countries, though, Starlink offers faster internet in places where traditional broadband just doesn't exist. Governments facing pressure to improve connectivity see Starlink as a shortcut to digital access. But these choices are being made under trade stress, which raises questions about severity and transparency. And for American citizen, the story reveals how foreign policy supports certain private companies that hold political leverage.

Taxpayer-funded diplomacy being used to shape deals that enrich a few individuals while advancing geopolitical goals. Whether or not Starlink performs well in these countries, the business is winning access through methods tied to trade negotiations, not just trade.

open markets. Now, the strategy also reaffirms how China's tech expansion is reshaping U.S. foreign policy. The United States sees the telecom race with China as a zero-sum contest. And by tying Starlink to trade deals, the U.S. government is actively prioritizing internet infrastructure as a strategic resource. While no formal deals have yet been signed since the April 2nd tariff announcements, the groundwork for TradeLink concessions is being laid through technology access.

Each country they grant Starlink a license sends a message to Washington that it is willing to play ball. The balance of power in these negotiations is tilting toward whoever controls connectivity.

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