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cover of episode Why Northvolt failed to become Europe’s battery champion

Why Northvolt failed to become Europe’s battery champion

2024/12/4
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Behind the Money

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Michaela Tendera
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Peter Carlson
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Richard Milne
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Richard Milne: 我从2017年开始报道Northvolt,见证了它的崛起和衰落。起初,Northvolt凭借其成为欧洲首个大型电池工厂的雄心壮志,吸引了大量投资,并与多家汽车制造商建立了合作关系。然而,由于管理不善、安全事故频发、对亚洲设备和工程师的过度依赖以及资金使用效率低下等问题,Northvolt最终走向破产。这不仅对Northvolt本身是一个巨大的打击,也给欧洲的电池产业发展蒙上阴影。 我采访了多位Northvolt的员工,他们证实了公司内部存在诸多问题,例如中层管理人员缺乏经验,安全标准低,语言障碍影响沟通效率等。这些问题导致Northvolt的生产效率远低于预期,无法满足客户的需求,最终导致主要客户BMW取消了巨额订单。 Northvolt的破产也引发了人们对欧洲电池产业未来发展的担忧。欧洲市场规模相对较小,缺乏像美国和中国那样的巨型国内市场,这使得欧洲企业在与亚洲电池巨头竞争时处于劣势。 尽管如此,我认为欧洲仍有必要发展自己的电池产业,以确保能源独立和汽车产业的竞争力。Northvolt的失败是一个警示,但它也为未来的发展提供了宝贵的经验教训。 Michaela Tendera: Northvolt的破产是欧洲电池产业发展道路上的一大挫折。欧洲汽车产业正面临向电动汽车的转型,而电池是电动汽车的核心部件。如果欧洲不能建立起强大的本土电池产业,将面临被亚洲电池巨头主导的风险,这将对欧洲的经济和就业造成重大影响。Northvolt的案例表明,即使拥有雄心勃勃的计划和充足的资金,如果没有良好的管理和执行能力,也很难在竞争激烈的市场中生存。 Northvolt的失败也反映出欧洲在电池技术和产业链方面与亚洲的差距。欧洲需要加强在电池技术研发、人才培养和产业链建设方面的投入,才能在未来的竞争中占据有利地位。 Peter Carlson: 回顾过去一年半的时间,我认为Northvolt的失败并非单一原因造成的,而是多种因素共同作用的结果。我们面临着来自不同国家、文化背景的数千名员工,这给管理带来了挑战。偏远的地理位置也增加了吸引和留住人才的难度。此外,我们还遇到了新流程的调试问题、疫情对建设的影响以及作为西方公司首次使用中韩设备所带来的各种问题。 我们应该更早地控制扩张步伐,专注于核心业务的发展。我为Northvolt的失败负有责任,并已辞去CEO职务。尽管如此,我相信Northvolt仍然有潜力,我们正在寻求新的投资,希望能够重整旗鼓,继续为欧洲的绿色转型贡献力量。

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In February 2017, the FT's Nordic and Baltic correspondent, Richard Milne, is just getting back into the swing of things after a vacation. And he starts going through his inbox to catch up on what he's missed. While I was away, I got an email from a contact telling me about this interesting new company. The name of the company doesn't really stand out.

But their pitch does. It had a terrible name at that time, SGF Energy. Nobody had written about it, but it was run by these two Europeans who used to work for Tesla. So they were looking to be the first European company to build a gigafactory, which is basically just a giant factory that makes batteries. Asia is leading the global battery industry at the time.

But this little Swedish startup wants to change that. So their big pitch was to be the green European alternative to the already sort of dominant Asian battery players. You know, this is something that European industry needed. It didn't have.

I was both skeptical and intrigued. So I got in touch. I ended up speaking to them and I basically wrote the first article about what became Northvolt. So SGF Energy, it now has a new name, Northvolt. Richard, so tell me that pitch.

How would you say that's turned out? Well, in 2024, it's kind of completely gone off the rails. They're fighting for survival, all sorts of problems. So it's going not so well. I'm Michaela Tendera from the Financial Times. Northvolt was supposed to be Europe's battery champion. Now, the company's fallen into bankruptcy. Today on Behind the Money, how did Northvolt lose its charge?

When my colleague Richard writes his first story about this little Swedish startup called Northvolt in 2017, this idea of the green transition is well underway. Part of that includes moving away from carbon dioxide spewing combustion engines and over to electric-powered cars.

And with that shift, Europe's auto industry seems like it could be at risk of falling behind. The car industry is absolutely central to the European economy. There's 13 to 14 million jobs directly and indirectly based on the car industry. And it's undergoing this sort of gut-wrenching shift to electric cars. At the heart of the electric car is the battery.

But at the time, as I mentioned, companies in Asia are the ones controlling this market. So it was Panasonic in Japan. You had CATL in Japan.

China, you had the likes of LG and Samsung in Korea. I think there's a feeling that if Europe lets the Asian companies dominate too much, then they can take over everything. So not just batteries, but they take over the whole car industry. If that was to carry through, then the thinking goes that, you know, the European car industry could shrivel dramatically.

It's crucial to get a beachhead really against the Asian players who are otherwise dominant in the field.

Early on, after hearing about Northvolt, Richard gets the chance to interview the company's CEO, Peter Carlson, who appears to have Europe's answer to this battery dilemma. Back in 2017, he told me, if nobody does anything, Europe is going to be completely dependent on an Asian supply chain. Europe has the opportunity to act for its own energy independence. He said, it's now or never.

Peter Carlson tells Richard that he has a big plan in mind to compete with the Asian players. He wants to raise $4 billion to set up Europe's first battery factory somewhere in Scandinavia. What seems like it's going to be their big problem is financing, you know, $4 billion for an unknown company sort of straight off the bat is enormous. I mean, most startups start with a few million here and do something and a few million more.

But Northvolt is building a very complicated factory that needs a lot of machinery, needs a lot of talent. And it's a machinery that is very, very costly to operate until you get to a certain scale where you make enough batteries that you're suddenly profitable. So Northvolt needed to kind of go all in from the beginning, but they had some pretty impressive names almost from the start.

Their roster of both debt and equity investors becomes a who's who of industry and finance in Europe. They start to get a lot of financial investors like Goldman Sachs, Unicredit, SEB, JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank, Citi. Northvolt also secures investment another way. Companies that'll become their future customers. That's car makers like Volkswagen and BMW. They sign on with the company to be both investors...

and to promise to buy Northvolt's batteries from them in the future. At its core, I think it's just the idea that the green transition is this huge opportunity. It's going to require an enormous amount of capital, but it could provide big returns for investors. So when interest rates are low, which they are in 2017, 18, 19, 20, you know, this looks like a pretty good bet for a lot of these players.

In late December of 2021, after years of fundraising and building, Northvolt hits a major milestone.

The company announces that they've become the first homegrown startup to design and produce a battery inside a gigafactory in Europe. This was a big moment. I mean, they'd shown that they could do it on the finance side. Now they were showing that they could actually do it operationally. This was the first sign that, you know, maybe they'd be able to compete with the Asians.

Just a few weeks later, Richard decides to go see for himself what's happening at this gigafactory in Sweden. And he has kind of a long journey ahead of him. So I first went to Hvileftjord, their main factory, in January 2022. I thought I had to go and check it out for myself. Took the plane to Stockholm and then another plane up to Hvileftjord.

Well, Lefthure is this remote, sleepy town. Been pretty down on its luck for decades, really, until Northvolt came calling. And obviously, you land, it's pretty damn cold. I mean, the drive from the airport into the town and then to the factory itself was pretty hair-raising, very icy.

You kind of go through this dense, very Nordic, very Swedish forest, just trees upon trees upon trees. And with snow on the ground and then kind of rising out of the horizon, you know, there's almost like this alien spaceship there covering hundreds of football pitches.

basically this very flat, white factory. And it's one of the biggest factory areas I've ever been to. Northwold had selected this remote town near the Arctic Circle because there's this huge amount of abundant clean energy in the form of hydropower nearby. Setting up there would help with the company's pitch that their batteries would be the greenest in the world.

And once Richard got up to this alien spaceship factory, he spent some time inside walking around. Inside the factory, it's just this absolute sort of beehive of activity. There are machines running, there are machines being installed, there are things that are being constructed.

I mean, it's still COVID going on. So you've got people wandering around in masks, sort of also looking like aliens almost in their space suits to avoid the batteries being contaminated. And what they told me they were aiming for at that time was to produce enough batteries to power a million cars a year. So things are looking good.

They've hit this milestone, you know, creating the first battery in Europe made by a European startup.

But now it's time to tackle the real challenge, operate at scale and deliver batteries to these customers who are relying on them like BMW and Volkswagen. And they seem to be ticking the box one by one, but the hurdles at the same time are getting bigger and bigger. And the one they've still got to get over is the tallest one. And it's executing, it's producing a lot of batteries.

In the months after Richard's visit to the Gigafactory, the good news kind of just keeps rolling in. They're raising even more money. They're on their way to becoming Europe's best-funded startup.

And they're setting their sights on expanding even more. Pretty soon they decide to build a second factory in Sweden and a joint venture with Volvo Cars. They want to build a third factory in Germany and a fourth factory in Canada. At the same time, they've got an energy storage factory in Poland. They've got a recycling joint venture with Hydro of Norway. So they've just got this dizzying number of projects that they're trying to do. I

I think there was this sense that it was trying to almost run before it could walk in a lot of areas all at once. And, you know, it kept on saying it thought it could do it. And I think, you know, that was probably because they just got so much money. But I always remember thinking, like, how can you keep all these plates spinning in the air? After so much positive news in Northvolt's earliest years...

Later in 2023, things at Northvolt take a tragic turn. There's an explosion on a production line.

in the Northvolt factory in November. And a month later, a 25-year-old Northvolt employee dies from severe burns that he sustained in that. And separately, a construction worker dies in a crane accident at the factory. It's a dark time for Northvolt.

And it leads to problems down the line with their output. They have to stop production in Hvælfdjur, and that causes issues with their deliveries. You get truck maker in Sweden, Scania, complaining that they're not getting enough batteries. It doesn't stop there, though. More news tied to their production output comes out months later, in the summer of this year.

They're losing a key partner. So BMW, the German luxury car maker, was one of the first customers for Northvolt. They had a $2 billion contract to get batteries for one of their models. They canceled that contract. They give it to an Asian supplier and the alarm bells start to ring louder for Northvolt. You know, this is a customer saying, we don't think we can get enough batteries for

on time from Northvolt, so we're looking elsewhere. Remember, its massive factory in Sweden should be able to churn out batteries for hundreds of thousands of cars. But in reality, Northvolt's only producing a tiny fraction of that. Richard tells me it's more like 1% of their total capacity.

Plus, there's a broader issue. You've got the backdrop of weakish demand for electric vehicles in Europe, worse than expected sales. So investors are starting to get jittery over the green transition as a whole. And they're worrying whether Norfolk can do it because, yes, they've raised prices.

In late July this year, Richard gets a chance to interview Northvolt CEO Peter Carlson again.

Remember, the first time they spoke, Carlson said that it's now or never for Europe to seize this opportunity and develop its own energy independence. So there were a lot of questions in the air after the BMW announcement about what this meant for Northvolt.

So I get on a call with him and, you know, we talk about some of the issues. We talk about the workers' deaths and how serious that is. He tells me that he's still confident that Northvolt can compete with Asian battery makers. We need to prove that we can match them in execution. And kind of out of nowhere, he announces that Northvolt is undertaking this strategic review. And that's also...

And while we are also doing a kind of a strategic overview of our business plan and our growth plan and the different timelines to make sure that the core engine of Skellefteå is successful.

getting all focus to get up and running before we take the next step. In a strategic review, that's normally a code word for selling things or shutting things down. And he basically hints that the expansion of Northvolt, so these extra factories in Canada and Germany could be put on hold. And they're going to look at the whole business and what they do with it.

The strategic review quickly turns into a lot of action. The headlines are that they cut a quarter of their jobs in Sweden, which is where they have pretty much all their jobs. They focus almost everything on their existing factory in Hvileftio. A lot of the peripheral businesses, so recycling, energy storage,

They're either going to be sold or at least put on pause. And on top of that, they were trying to raise money, billions and billions of dollars for a sort of normal fundraising package.

And through this process, that becomes a kind of rescue package that they need. And that sum of money sort of gets cut and cut and cut as investors seem to balk at backing them. And you've got the Swedish government saying that they're not going to rescue them. And so suddenly they really are fighting for their survival. Northvolt is on the ropes.

They're trying to raise money, but investors aren't so interested, especially given how demand for EVs has slumped. Europe's great hope in the battery race is running out of juice. And this leaves Richard with a bunch of questions. He wants to know exactly what happened here. What was going on inside the company that led to all these problems?

From 2023 into 2024, Richard's watching this slew of bad headlines coming out of Northvolt. But it wasn't really clear to him what was happening behind the scenes. I'd written and lots of other people had written a sort of, it's gone wrong for Northvolt. This is terrible news for Europe. But what I felt was missing was a story from inside the company as to what actually had gone wrong.

And so I and a couple of colleagues at the FT started digging in and started trying to find past and present employees from Norfolk.

Richard says it's a pretty difficult process to find these sources. Northvolt told its employees not to talk to the media. But through a sort of variety of methods, we managed to speak to 10 workers, past and present. And, you know, there was a pretty coherent picture. It wasn't like there was one person.

single issue that had floored Northvolt. There was a sense absolutely, you know, as I kind of feared for a long time that Northvolt was trying to do too much too quickly. Those sources tell Richard that the company's problems fell into a few buckets and they all played a role in the company's inability to make batteries at the scale their customers and investors were counting on from them.

The first of these would be incompetent management. That Norfolk hired, you know, a lot of people and at the middle ranks in particular, they didn't really know enough what they were doing. As you can probably guess, while Hualefdeo might have been a town that was rich in hydropower,

it wasn't exactly teeming with experts in battery manufacturing. So at the very top level, really, it's Japanese or Korean battery engineers. But then there are thousands and thousands of other positions and, you know, not much experience in Europe of that. So you're hiring a lot of

kind of middle managers who maybe have factory experience or maybe have automotive experience, but not the sort of deep battery experience of the Asians. A second issue was the poor safety standards. Now, you know, this came to air with the tragic deaths in 2023, but some of the tales we're told were pretty hair-raising stories.

Northvolt itself has said that the accident level is comparable to other industrial companies, but it's still not where they want it to be. A third issue would be that I eventually learned that a lot of these machines that I saw when I toured Northvolt's factory back in 2022 had actually come from Chinese or South Korean companies.

Northwark was quite reliant, you could say maybe even over-reliant on that machinery and some of the main machines that they used needed a lot of Chinese and Korean engineers to be on site to install and to operate them and they seemed to be there for a very long time.

Having workers who spoke different languages made it tough to communicate even simple things. There were a couple of specific incidents that were mentioned to do with the Chinese workers in one case. Non-Chinese workers were in a dry room in a factory when a fire alarm went on and they didn't hear it. And a Chinese worker had to come in and using Google Translate,

said, you know, there's a fire alarm going on. Now, the Chinese company involved, Wuqi, says that it's normal in a ramp up phase that they have engineers on site to operate the machinery. But quite a few of the employees found that quite striking. And then the fourth issue was, I guess you could call it misuse of capital, that this was a company that kind of had a

so much money that wasn't what was constraining it. So it was burning through cash unnecessarily. It was paying too much to suppliers to get things done today where it could have halved the bill if it had waited a week or something. That it was doing things to unrealistic deadlines to meet investor demands rather than doing it properly.

Welcome to Northvolt press conference. Now I will hand the conference over to CEO and co-founder Peter Carlson. In late November, Northvolt announced that it was filing for bankruptcy in the U.S. The company had debts of $5.8 billion and just $30 million in cash, enough to support its operations for about one more week. The next day, Richard attends a press conference held by the company.

On the call, Carlson tells journalists that he would be resigning. And that I, in the company, step down as CEO and maintain my role in the board, supporting also the company that is like a baby for me in any capacity that I can.

I mean, this is big news, right? Carlson says on the call himself, Northvolt is his baby. He's the one that's formed it. And now he can see the sort of dreams he had potentially dying in front of him. And he has to take responsibility for that. The next question comes from Richard Milne from Financial Times. Please go ahead.

Yeah. Morning, Peter. First of all, maybe a big one, backward looking. In your words, what has gone wrong? Yeah. Obviously, I've been reflecting a lot about the last year, 18 months. In hindsight, we've built a

Carlsen later went on to say it was, you know, not one thing that went wrong. It was a combination of factors. He said things like there were thousands of workers from a hundred different nationalities, uh,

It was a very remote location that was difficult to attract people to. There was trouble in getting the new processes right. They had COVID-19 affecting the construction. And they were the first Western customers of Chinese and Korean equipment makers, which meant they had all sorts of teething problems on the machines.

We should probably, I should have probably have pulled the brake earlier on some of the expansion paths. Richard, what is next for Northvolt? I mean, what happens to the company now that they've filed for this reorganization?

So chapter 11 bankruptcy is normally not the end for a company. I mean, it's just, it's a chance at a new beginning. Norfolk said they want to find up to $1.2 billion to be able to exit chapter 11. So they're looking for a new investor or new investors to give them that money and to try and make the dream live again.

The question is, if they couldn't find that in the last few months, are they going to be able to find it now? So what happens to the investors who already put so much into this? You know, I'm thinking of firms like Goldman Sachs or the car companies, Volkswagen. So like in most bankruptcies, if you're an equity investor, if you're a shareholder, you're probably going to get wiped out or near enough wiped out by this.

Now, the FTI broke this story. Goldman Sachs, which let's remember is the second largest investor in Northvolt, they sent a letter to investors in their funds and said, by the end of this year, we're writing down the value of our Northvolt investments to zero. And they've got about $900 million of investment. And

And, you know, for other investors, it's going to be a similar tale. But the problem, I guess, overall, is that a lot of big name investors have put quite a bit of money into Northvolt. This was one of the stars of the green transition in Europe. And most, if not all of that money is now gone. What does this mean for the future of battery making and electric vehicles in Europe? I mean, can another company ever try this again or?

has the pop been spoiled? Northvolt was the pioneer. It was pretty long way ahead of everybody else.

What you're left with now in Europe is a lot of decent sized battery companies that are more connected with a single car maker. So Volkswagen has a battery maker called Powerco. Renault has one called Verco. And maybe that's the way that it's going to develop. But I think lurking in the background is this sense of,

Do European car makers, do European policymakers still want to have a European battery industry or do they throw in the towel and leave it to the Chinese, leave it to the Japanese Koreans? I think, you know, right now the jury's probably a bit out, but I think it's still...

too crucial for them to give up entirely. It's just that maybe we're looking at more the European players carving out a little niche for themselves and the Asian players having the kind of mass market of this.

Now, Richard, as someone who's reported on Northvolt for something like seven years, what have you learned? I mean, one thing is that risky investments are risky investment. I mean, it is hard to build something completely new. It involves a huge amount of hard work, a huge amount of money, and even then you're not sure it's going to come off. And that was the case here. I mean,

I want to stay optimistic for Europe's behalf, but it's pretty easy when you look at what happened to Northvolt to get sort of quite pessimistic. You've got the US and China, which are huge domestic markets. Europe sort of struggles on that front. And, you know, so a company like Northvolt got a lot right. It got its financing right. You know, it had ambitious plans, but it didn't get the execution right.

And that is a problem for Europe. Now, let's hope that somebody else can fill that gap. Maybe Northvolt can come back from Chapter 11 to fill that gap on its own. But at the moment, it looks a little bleak. Behind the Money is hosted by me, Michaela Tendera. Safia Ahmed is our producer. Sound design and mixing by Sam Giovinko and Joseph Salcedo. Topher Forges is our executive producer. Cheryl Brumley is the global head of audio.

Original music is by Hannes Brown. Thanks for listening. See you next week.

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