The Electoral College system gives more weight to votes from smaller states because each state’s electoral votes are based on the number of its representatives in Congress (House + Senate). Since every state has two senators regardless of population, smaller states like Wyoming (with 3 electoral votes) have a proportionally larger influence compared to larger states like California (with 55 electoral votes).
The argument is that swing states, which are not consistently aligned with one party, receive disproportionate attention and resources during elections because their electoral votes can tip the balance in favor of a candidate. However, this is not inherently unfair, as swing states are not fixed and can change over time, reflecting a dynamic political landscape.
The Electoral College system can mitigate the impact of vote-counting errors by localizing them within individual states. For example, if a few counties in a state like New York miscount votes, it may not affect the overall state result or the national outcome. In contrast, a national popular vote would amplify such errors, as every miscounted vote directly impacts the total tally.
Critics argue that the Electoral College’s complexity creates opportunities for manipulation, such as attempts to influence electors or state legislatures to override election results. However, this criticism is not unique to the Electoral College, as even a national popular vote would still involve state-level processes that could be subject to similar manipulation.
The Electoral College was designed to balance state and federal interests by ensuring that smaller states have a voice in presidential elections. This reflects the federalist structure of the U.S., where states retain significant autonomy. The system prevents larger states from dominating the election process and ensures that diverse regional interests are represented.
The Electoral College moderates the direct expression of popular will by introducing a layer of representation between voters and the presidency. This design aims to prevent the election of candidates who might appeal to a narrow majority but lack broad, moderate support. It also ensures that the interests of smaller states and diverse regions are considered in the electoral process.
Swing states are crucial in the Electoral College system because their electoral votes are not predictably aligned with one party, making them decisive in determining the outcome of presidential elections. This importance arises from the winner-takes-all approach in most states, where winning a swing state can significantly shift the electoral balance.
In non-swing states, where the outcome is often predictable, voter turnout may be lower because individual votes are less likely to influence the result. However, the Electoral College system ensures that even in these states, the majority party’s voters effectively secure their desired outcome without needing high turnout, as the state’s electoral votes are awarded to the winner.
Everyone else just doesn’t seem to get it! 拨乱反正。
本期开头不建议跳过因为有好多disclaimer和一个笑话!
(04:45) 选举人团致使小州摇摆州僭越伦常倒反天罡?
(17:49) 选举人团放大一小撮坏分子的错作用?
(22:30) 选举人团叠床架屋扰乱全国一盘棋?
(28:34) What if democracy isn't just about popularity, and State boundaries aren't gerrymandered conspiracies.
(35:14) Self-celebration, agreeing to each other, etc.
p.s. 我的JDVance turncoat时刻 (03:36)
References:
(12:51), (18:05) Bush v. Gore (2000) - 推荐Fiasco (podcast with Leon Neyfakh), 和Recount (HBO 2008, starring a sex offender)
(22:53) Trump’s efforts, an Act from 1887, and “failed to make a choice” https://www.propublica.org/article/the-long-odds-facing-trumps-attempts-to-get-state-legislatures-to-override-election-results) (note this article was written pre-Jan 6); also see 2022 Electoral Count Reform Act as a response
(25:19) Article II Section 1 Clause 2 ("Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct...")
(33:15) Did Founders NOT envision parties? See James Madison, The Federalist Papers No. 10 (“The regulation of these various and interfering interests forms the principal task of modern legislation, and involves the spirit of party and faction in the necessary and ordinary operations of the government. […] that the CAUSES of faction cannot be removed, and that relief is only to be sought in the means of controlling its EFFECTS.”)
(36:18) National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
附加思考题:
我们不是你的律师;我们不是我们的雇主;我们只是妄议的aliens;所有谬见jointly and severally remain our own.
BGM credit to Suno AI