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cover of episode The Importance Of Looking Beyond The Data

The Importance Of Looking Beyond The Data

2025/5/26
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Jason in the House
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J
Jason
参与Triple Click播客，讨论RPG游戏党员设定。
L
Lee Carter
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Jason: 我非常荣幸能邀请到李·卡特，一位卓越的民调专家。她不仅精于数据分析，更擅长解读数据背后的故事，这使她在众多民调专家中脱颖而出。她对词汇的敏锐运用和对政治现象的深刻理解，让我对她的观点深信不疑。与她交谈总是充满活力，她对生活的热情也深深感染了我。 Lee Carter: 我认为民调既是艺术也是科学，需要避免个人情感的干扰。理解人们行为背后的原因至关重要，仅仅理解数据是不够的，还需要理解数据背后的原因。特朗普能够以独特的方式与人们沟通，这使他在2015年和2016年取得了胜利。在2020年，他没有坚持“让美国再次伟大”的口号，而是反对激进左派，这可能导致了他的失败。理解人们的诉求，而不仅仅是看数字，这一点非常重要。现在人们不愿意透露自己的真实想法，因为一切都变得两极分化。我们需要质疑一切，并确保我们与正确的人交谈。人工智能可以帮助我们快速了解趋势，并指导我们关注的重点，但如果以错误的方式使用人工智能，并认为它可以取代我们，那会让我感到害怕。我的工作是用数字讲述选民的故事，希望人们理解总统的支持率是高是低，以及人们为什么想要改变或不想要改变。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The episode starts by discussing the recently passed "one big, beautiful bill" in the House of Representatives. It highlights the role of Speaker Johnson and President Trump in its passage and looks ahead to the Senate's consideration of the bill, noting potential changes and challenges.
  • The bill passed the House by a narrow margin (215-214).
  • The bill will now move to the Senate for further consideration.
  • Reconciliation rules will affect the Senate's ability to amend the bill.
  • The bill's final form may differ from its House version.

Shownotes Transcript

Last week, President Trump's "one big, beautiful bill" passed through the House just in time for Memorial Day weekend. Jason explains how the bill survived to this point in the process and what is next as the President's bill heads to the Senate.

 President of Maslansky + Partners and author of "Persuasion: Convincing Others When Facts Don't Seem to Matter),"** Lee Carter** discusses how her love of politics led to a successful career as a pollster and how numbers can help tell a story. 

Bring on the stupid: A 24-year-old Venezuelan man allegedly forged false documents to enroll in high school and now faces repercussions. 

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