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cover of episode Ford says the road ahead is unclear

Ford says the road ahead is unclear

2025/5/6
logo of podcast Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace All-in-One

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D
David Brancaccio
K
Karen Petru
N
Nancy Marshall-Genzer
W
Will Grant
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Nancy Marshall-Genzer: 福特汽车公司第一季度营收下降 5%,并因关税导致的不确定性而暂停了全年的财务预测。他们将营收下降归咎于与车辆发布相关的某些工厂的计划性停产,这限制了库存。福特估计,关税将在今年使其息税前利润减少 15 亿美元,但这取决于持续的与关税相关的政策发展。公司通常会在收益报告中包含更详细的全年财务预测,例如收入和成本的预测。但福特表示,由于存在可能产生重大影响的重大行业风险,例如未来或增加的关税以及全行业的供应链中断,因此无法做到这一点。这使得目前更新其全年的财务预测具有挑战性。但福特确实表示,由于其在美国生产的车辆更多,因此比其他汽车制造商处于更有利的地位。 Karen Petru: 美联储将在当前经济不确定性时期维持利率不变。我认为这是因为他们认为这是在经济高度不确定时期正确的做法。然而,总统希望美联储降息,但这可能会加剧通货膨胀。美联储担心的是,在经济不确定性时期降息会加剧通货膨胀。 Will Grant: 许多被驱逐出境的美国人正在墨西哥找到工作,包括在呼叫中心工作。一个例子是 Easy Call Center,其所有运营商都是被驱逐者,包括其老板 Daniel Ruiz。他们都经历了文化冲击,因为他们在美国长大,并在那里接受教育。另一家公司 American Survey Company (ASC) 及其姊妹公司 Voxcentrics 在蒂华纳拥有大约 550 个呼叫中心座席,也雇佣被驱逐者。ASC 的首席快乐官 Nora Diaz 表示,他们关注的是员工的英语和西班牙语能力以及他们的工作意愿,而不是他们的过去。 David Brancaccio: 自关税大幅波动以来,企业并购活动降至 20 年来的低点,这反映了经济不确定性。

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Depending on certain loan attributes, your business loan may be issued by OnDeck or Celtic Bank. OnDeck does not lend in North Dakota. All loans and amounts subject to lender approval. How running a car company these days is like trying to drive wearing a sleep mask. I'm David Brancaccio in Los Angeles. Ford Motor Company stock is down 2.5% pre-market now after the company said it cannot assess its sales and profits for the rest of the year given tariffs. Marketplace's Nancy Marshall-Genzer reports.

Ford says revenue for the first quarter was down 5% from the same time last year. It blames a planned shutdown of certain plants related to vehicle launches that limited inventory. Ford estimates that tariffs will take a $1.5 billion bite out of its earnings before interest and taxes this year, but then adds that's, quote, "...subject to ongoing tariff-related policy developments."

Companies usually include more detailed financial guidance for the year in earnings reports, projections of things like revenue and costs. But Ford says it can't do that because there are substantial industry risks that could have significant impacts, risks like future or increased tariffs and industry-wide supply chain disruptions.

And that makes updating its financial guidance for the full year challenging right now. But Ford does say it's in a better position than other automakers because it makes more of its vehicles in the U.S. I'm Nancy Marshall-Genzer for Marketplace. Which bird is it? Hawk or...

Or Dove. The guardians of interest rates at the Federal Reserve meet today and tomorrow on what to do about an economy under stress given higher import taxes aimed at reshoring jobs. Hawks use their talons, higher interest rates to beat down inflation. Doves soothe by lowering interest rates to make borrowing easier. Karen Petru is managing partner at Federal Financial Analytics.

The Fed is going to stay up in the trees. They are not going to change rates today. This is, in my strong opinion, because that's what they think the right thing to do at a time of considerable economic uncertainty.

But it will raise a lot of commentary on ornithology because the president is a dove lover and he is going to be pretty annoyed if the Fed does not lower rates as he thinks it should. Yeah, dove lover, meaning he would like lower interest rates because that eases the pain and certainly helps politically at a time that he is, you

aggressively raising tariffs, even with the ones that were put on hold, still lots of tariffs. Yes, it might ease some of the pain because it would lower rates for people who are borrowing. It might permit a bit even more employment, although employment is very robust. But the Fed's fear, and it's mine too, is that lower rates when there's

All right. Birdwatching at the Central Bank.

Karen Petru, co-founder and managing partner at Federal Financial Analytics in Washington. Always good to catch up. Thanks, David. Bond market, little change now with a Fed decision due tomorrow about 2 Eastern. S&P futures are down 0.7%. Now Germany's DAX index is down 0.8%. After a big political surprise today, the leader of Germany's conservative party could not come up with the votes in parliament to become leader of the country. And he'll have to try again.

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Trump administration says it has deported 152,000 since January, people suspected of being in the U.S. without permission. It's a slow start given a campaign goal to deport millions, and the government is now offering to pay people $1,000 if they self-deport. And companies in Mexico are recruiting some recent arrivals with skills, including English. The BBC's Will Grant reports from Tijuana.

Over a steady hum of activity, operators at the Easy Call Centre in Tijuana work through long lists of US phone numbers. All the agents speak fluent English, and the people at the other end of the line are none the wiser. They're talking to agents in Mexico rather than the US.

In fact, virtually every phone operator in the company is a deportee, including Easy Call Center's owner, Daniel Ruiz. We all are dealing with culture shock. We have all of our life over there. We went to school over there, watched TV over there, you know, like, brought up on American culture. And we have family over there. Born in Mexico, he grew up in the United States before he was deported for low-level drug crime in his early 20s.

Today, he runs the successful telesales company and co-founded a humanitarian organization called the Borderline Crisis Center. The latest U.S. returnee at the company is Alberto Salagan, who was deported to Tijuana in January. I just pretty much landed here.

I'm at the San Isidro border crossing, one of the busiest international border crossings in the world. For so many deportees, being returned to Tijuana with the United States still visible on the other side of the border is a harrowing experience.

Some haven't lived in this country since they were children or even babies. Nevertheless, some companies have found distinct advantages to employing deportees as staff members. So we're looking at where our agents work. This is a main area for... In particular, one company, the American Survey Company, or ASC, stands out.

It's one thing for a smaller venture like Easy Call Centre to rely on deportees, but ASC and its sister company Voxcentrics have some 550 call centre stations in Tijuana.

Whatever happened in the U.S. stays in the U.S. Nora Diaz is the chief happiness officer at the company. We understand that everybody has a past. We just need people who speak good English, good Spanish, and they're willing to learn and commit to a job. So far, the Trump administration's threat of mass deportation remains exactly that, a threat.

But it has become a powerful tool in dissuading migrants from even attempting to cross into the U.S. In Mexico, I'm the BBC's Will Grant for Marketplace. And as a readout on economic uncertainty, there's news today corporate mergers have hit a 20-year low in the weeks since the big tariff swings. In Los Angeles, I'm David Brancaccio with the Marketplace Morning Report. We're from APM, American Public Media.

Marketplace is for public good, not for profit. We count on you, our listeners, to help cover the cost of the reporting you rely on every morning. We're going to remain free and accessible to everyone. That's part of our mission. But if you're in a position to donate, we're counting on you. Give what you can right now at marketplace.org slash donate or click the link in show notes.