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cover of episode What is the Future of the Israel-Iran War and Will the U.S. Get Involved?

What is the Future of the Israel-Iran War and Will the U.S. Get Involved?

2025/6/17
logo of podcast State of the World from NPR

State of the World from NPR
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A
Alain Otaik
B
Bauran
J
Jane Araf
K
Karim Sajidpour
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Karim Sajidpour: 我认为，以伊冲突并非传统的地缘政治冲突，而是一场意识形态之战。两国之间没有直接的领土或边界争端。事实上，在1979年革命之前，伊朗和以色列的关系是友好的。因此，伊朗自1979年起对以色列的敌对态度，以及“以色列去死”的口号，并不反映伊朗的国家利益。我认为，以色列目前对伊朗的攻势，引发了人们对以色列是否寻求伊朗政权更迭的疑问。尽管特朗普总统曾批评在中东寻求政权更迭的干涉主义者，但以色列可能正在考虑这一选项。不过，我认为，尽管伊朗政权不受欢迎，但在空中轰炸下，伊朗社会组织抗议运动的可能性极低。即使以色列能够有效地消灭伊朗的最高军事和政治领导人，这也不太可能导致伊朗政权的更迭。在伊朗正在为生存而战的情况下，政权不太可能崩溃，而且目前没有像叙利亚那样可行的抵抗运动。

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Shownotes Transcript

The war between Israel and Iran shows no signs of slowing down. There were traffic jams in Tehran with people fleeing after President Trump suggested on social media everyone there evacuate. We talk to a longtime Iran analyst about where the war might go and what the U.S. role in the conflict might be. And we go to the neighboring countries in the region to see how people are reacting to missiles flying overhead. For more coverage of all sides of this conflict, go to npr.org/mideastupdates )Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)