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cover of episode For Republicans, the End of Abortion Rights Was a Dangerous Victory

For Republicans, the End of Abortion Rights Was a Dangerous Victory

2024/8/20
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David Remnick:特朗普成功推翻罗诉韦德案,但在党内引发政治代价。共和党内部对堕胎议题存在分歧,甚至有人建议停止讨论,以免壮大民主党。共和党全国大会取消了长期支持全国性堕胎禁令的纲领条款,这与最高法院的《多布斯案》裁决形成对比。特朗普试图淡化其在堕胎问题上的强硬立场,声称将堕胎权交给各州是“每个人都想要的”。 Susan Glasser:特朗普在堕胎问题上的立场并非出于原则,而是出于政治和选票考虑。他既想为推翻罗诉韦德案邀功,又不想为此付出政治代价。共和党全国大会暗中取消了长期以来支持全国性堕胎禁令的纲领条款。罗森代尔议员代表共和党基层,对党内妥协感到不满,认为共和党应该坚持反堕胎立场。他认为,即使民意调查显示IVF很受欢迎,共和党仍能在IVF问题上获胜,因为共和党过去曾多次采取不受欢迎的立场,并成功地将其转化为法律。罗森代尔还认为,许多国会议员对IVF的伦理问题缺乏了解。他试图争取的是一小部分美国人,但这些人却拥有不成比例的政治权力。 Matt Rosendale:共和党基层对共和党在堕胎问题上的妥协感到不安。他个人始终坚持自己的原则和信仰,但无法控制整个政党的走向。他反对体外受精(IVF),并试图取消联邦政府对军人家属IVF的资助。他同情那些难以自然受孕的家庭,但他认为应该更多地关注不孕不育的原因,例如避孕药、不良饮食和新冠疫苗等。 Kamala Harris:哈里斯在竞选活动中持续关注生殖权利,这给特朗普带来了压力。 Susan Glasser: 共和党内部对堕胎问题的态度存在严重分歧。一部分人为了政治利益而选择淡化堕胎议题,而另一部分人,例如罗森代尔议员,则坚持反堕胎的立场,并试图将这一立场扩展到IVF等领域。这反映出共和党内部在原则和政治策略之间的矛盾。同时,民意调查显示,大多数美国人支持堕胎合法化,这给共和党的反堕胎立场带来了挑战。

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The Republican Party removed a longstanding plank supporting a national abortion ban at a time when such a ban became legally possible, reflecting internal tension. Susan Glasser discusses this with David Remnick, highlighting interviews with Representative Matt Rosendale and the broader implications for the party.

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Listener supported. WNYC Studios. This is the New Yorker Radio Hour, a co-production of WNYC Studios and The New Yorker. This is the New Yorker Radio Hour. I'm David Remnick. The signal accomplishment of Donald Trump's term as president in his terms may be the end of Roe versus Wade. He promised conservative voters that he'd appoint anti-abortion justices and he delivered.

All with the help of Mitch McConnell, who secured Trump a bonus judicial appointment. But the rollback of abortion rights after more than half a century came at a steep political cost inside the party. Recently, a Republican state legislator in Texas made news by pleading with her colleagues to stop talking about abortion. She said, "...it's putting gas in the tank of Democrats."

And at the Republican National Convention, a longstanding plank supporting a national abortion ban was removed right when such a ban had actually become legally possible. Our Washington correspondent Susan Glasser has been looking at this emerging tension in the Republican Party. What's really obvious now, Susan, it seems to me, is that even Donald Trump

He's now out to tone down his rhetoric around abortion, saying, "Well, this will be a state matter and everybody will be happy." And what I did is I put three great Supreme Court justices on the court, and they happened to vote in favor of killing Roe v. Wade and moving it back to the states. This is something that everybody wanted. Is that effort gaining any traction?

It's not about principle for him. It's about politics. It's about votes. And what's fascinating to me is the extent to which his own party hasn't challenged him as much as you might imagine on what they have defined as an issue of principle for the last five decades.

since the Supreme Court decided Roe versus Wade, anti-abortion policy and politics have been at the core of this evolving Republican Party ideology. Donald Trump has basically said, yeah, yeah, yeah, I would like to take credit for getting rid of Roe versus Wade, but also not pay a political price for it.

And that's what we saw at the Republican convention in Milwaukee. When I was there, Trump essentially took over the Republican party platform and, you know, a kind of a sleight of hand that's gotten less attention than you might think they got rid of.

A platform plank that had been in there for decades calling for a national abortion ban. Susan, you spoke with a congressman named Matt Rosendale representing eastern Montana, and he's very active on this issue. Let's listen to some of your conversation with him.

I think that you had a platform committee that tried to accommodate a larger swath of the middle of the electorate is what I think. But I will tell you that the base of the Republican Party is very disturbed by those very things that you just mentioned.

Do you think that it means that the Republican Party has given up on pursuing a national abortion ban or simply that they don't want to talk about it on the campaign trail?

I can't speak for the whole party, Susan. I can speak for Matt Rosendale, and I've always pursued the things that I hold very strongly in my beliefs and my principles. And where the entire party goes, that's an apparatus that I don't have a lot of control over. Is Congressman Rosendale right?

Yeah, of course he's right. Look, everybody who gets in bed with Donald Trump is making a deal. And I think their deal is let's get back to power.

Let's win in November. And I personally don't have much doubt that they would pursue a national abortion ban in Congress if they have the votes to put it through. You've also got Project 2025, the far-right platform which calls for essentially banning abortion pills and other restrictions on reproductive rights. Trump tried to distance himself from Project 2025. He claimed, I don't know what it is.

Now, this betrays, doesn't it, some nervousness on his part where the abortion issue is concerned and about the right wing in general?

Absolutely. I think he is very concerned about the power of the abortion issue. He's seen over the two years since the Dobbs decision that again and again and again, it has brought voters out even in otherwise red states such as Kansas. He knows that Harris has been almost constantly on the campaign trail in the two years since then, focusing on reproductive rights. One of his unfortunate superpowers as a

campaigner is his ability to look you right in the eye and lie to you and say things that are just patently absurd. It is obviously absurd to say that project 2025 has nothing to do with what a future Trump administration would look like, given how closely aligned the people who created this, uh, policy agenda for a second Trump term were with, uh,

Trump's own administration, his own campaign, and now his own vice presidential running mate, it turns out, wrote the foreword for the book from the Heritage Foundation. But Donald Trump has this

brazen power of not seeming to mind when he makes absurd statements because he somehow still implants the falsehood with people. He creates the plausible doubt. But Kamala Harris, I thought she was really effective in campaigning on this in her debut as the presumptive nominee, David, when she went out there and she, I think it was her first rally in Wisconsin. Do you remember this?

He and his extreme project 2025 agenda will weaken the middle class. Like we know we got to take this seriously. Can you believe they put that thing in writing?

Now, even without a real national abortion ban, there are ways to go slice by slice, state by state, and cut down on abortion in an even more radical way than we have now. Is that something you think we'll still see them try to do? Or has the backlash to Roe v. Wade been so profound that...

a potential Trump administration would be much more cautious. Yeah. Uh, well, look, let's obviously reconvene this conversation after November, but I would say absolutely not, uh, that in fact, uh, the agenda is the agenda, uh, and, and, and, and mission driven politicians aren't likely to stop even if, uh, the public opinion numbers don't look good for them. Uh, I think that they've shown the ability to challenge, uh,

majority public opinion on issues such as this for a long period of time and to unfold the campaign over decades. What they haven't always had is a political opposition from Democrats, from women who support reproductive rights that has been as fierce, determined and long term as they themselves have been. I'm speaking with staff writer Susan Glasser. More in a moment. The New Yorker Radio Hour is supported by Dell.

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Presenting Between the Temples, a new comedy starring Jason Schwartzman as a cantor losing his voice and possibly his faith, whose world is upended when his grade school music teacher, played by Carole Kane, becomes his new bat mitzvah student. IndieWire raves that Between the Temples is spiky, hilarious, and thoroughly unorthodox. Variety calls it raucous and tender. Between the Temples is now playing only in theaters.

I'm Maria Konnikova. And I'm Nate Silver. And our new podcast, Risky Business, is a show about making better decisions. We're both journalists whom we light as poker players, and that's the lens we're going to use to approach this entire show. We're going to be discussing everything from high-stakes poker to personal questions. Like whether I should call a plumber or fix my shower myself. And of course, we'll be talking about the election, too. Listen to Risky Business wherever you get your podcasts.

Congressman Matt Rosendale, who you spoke with, is certainly one of those mission-driven politicians. He stands apart in his opposition to IVF, in vitro fertilization. He's challenging members of his party with a bill that would remove federal funding for IVF for military families. And that issue kind of blew up on Republicans in February when Alabama's Supreme Court essentially banned IVF.

saying that embryos created during the process should be considered children. IVF is a treatment used by nearly 100,000 people every year to get pregnant. So Susan, how much of an outlier is Rosendale on this issue? I think he's an example of the outlier who suggests that

the potential at least for where the extremes become the party's position. And right now, Rosendale is very disliked by many of his Republican colleagues in the House for essentially exposing, in his view, the hypocrisy of a lot of their positions. You know, that he's exposed sort of the craven political calculations in some ways behind this movement.

After the Alabama decision came out, I started doing a lot more research because I could see that this was going to be something that –

Congress and state houses across the nation, we're going to be having to start to deal with. We're trying to get information about how many embryos are being accurate information about how many embryos are truly being created each year. How many of them are being frozen? What kind of testing is being done on these embryos? Um,

How many of them are being destroyed? How many of them are being kept in a frozen state for how long? And we're not able to get this information. And so that's where it all started. So I see now my role is to help educate a lot more of the members of Congress who really weren't aware of this because they also, these same members, Susan, have co-sponsored legislation that says –

We believe that life begins at conception. We've had 131 members of Congress co-sponsor legislation that says, we believe life begins at conception. And so if you're going to sign off and sponsor legislation like that, then the natural path is to say, if life begins at conception and we have all of these principles

I mean, there's an internal logic, I guess, in there. How are Republicans attempting to square these things? Sure.

That's right. Well, for now, of course, they're attempting to scrap by preferring not to talk about it, in part because whether it's consistent or not, it's bad politics or that's their fear. It ain't popular. Yeah. But the reason that I think it's an important conversation is for a couple things. First of all, we know, courtesy of the Alabama Supreme Court, that Rosenthal is not the only person in America who thinks that this is where the anti-abortion movement is headed. You

You may have Republicans in Congress who don't want to talk about this. The Southern Baptist Convention actually, in effect, endorsed Rosendale's position. That is a very large movement of American Christians. It certainly represents a significant potential voting bloc. You know, the last few years have taught us a lot of things about American politics we might not have assumed before. And one of the things is that ideas and views that we once saw as so...

fringe and far from the mainstream that they couldn't possibly become law have actually come to dominate our politics and have been remarkably successful in some ways. So I wouldn't discount something that to us looks like a fringe notion right now. Well, he seems to think, Rosendale does, that some Republicans will come around on this issue. He told you

that the majority of Republican politicians don't understand the issue. Why is he so confident that this is a political battle that Republicans can win when at the same time polling suggests that IVF is, in a sense, hugely popular? People want this option. Well,

Well, in part because of Republicans' own experience again and again and again. In the last few years, David, they have taken positions that are very unpopular with the voters, and yet they've continued to pursue them. Look at some gun...

control proposals, for example. Huge majorities of Americans support many gun control proposals, and yet Republicans have essentially taken a minoritarian view and made that into the law of the land. I think they've done that with their abortion policies. Overturning Roe versus Wade is not supported. Something like two-thirds of Americans now support

the idea that abortion in some form should be legal. And so Republicans like Rosendale are not afraid to take minoritarian positions and use the system of our democracy quite successfully, it seems to me, to impose those minority views on a large majority of Americans. So you did ask Rosendale about the human issue here, how much he sympathizes with the many families trying to get pregnant. And he told you this.

My heart aches for folks that are having problems trying to start a family and conceive children naturally. God blessed me with three sons, and now I've been blessed with two granddaughters, and I have appreciated every phase of life that they have gone through. But

But we need to invest more time and money in what are the causes of this infertility. And when you start introducing –

young girls at the age of 13, 14 to birth control pills so that they can control their menstrual cycles and they utilize this for 20, 25 years and then decide to start a family, that has a huge impact. We have already seen and had documented that the COVID vaccination has caused young women problems with their menstrual cycles. We have

seen men who have had terrible diets with a lot of preservatives and chemicals that have hurt their fertility. And so we need to start focusing on what can we do. And most folks, studies show that if we focus on helping them address their fertility issues, that that is as successful as an IVF program.

Well, as you can hear there, clearly his mention here of the COVID vaccine in particular is not supported by science. But more broadly, right, it's not that anyone is against doing research on infertility, but it's a very complex debate that he's opened up. Now, what did you think when he said that? Is that enough for people to be convinced?

Short answer, no. No, it's not. I think that he is already trying to appeal to a relatively small fringe of Americans, but one to exert disproportionate political power in our system. Already, you've seen many Republicans in Congress in the wake of that Alabama Supreme Court decision come out, share stories, and this is Republicans as well as Democrats, share stories of their own struggles with

with fertility and relying on IVF to have a family. Tim Walz has also talked in speeches about using IVF in his own family. Yeah. And that's very powerful stuff. It reminds me in some ways of the early discussions over support for gay marriage, for example, and LGBTQ rights. You know, it's personal. And everyone in America understands

at this point, probably knows somebody who has struggled to start a family or, you know, back then who had a gay member of their family or lesbian member of their family. Remember when Dick Cheney, as hardline of a conservative as there could be, who finally came out in support of this and talked about his own family's experience. So this is one thing I think where this hard-edged

right-wing ideology comes into conflict with human experience. Maybe this is a question that requires a daring short answer, and you're never anything less than daring in your honesty. Imagine a debate in September, October, and it comes to the abortion issue. And Kamala Harris just forthrightly puts across what her position so obviously is.

It is. And Donald Trump forthrightly, pardon the expression, puts forward his position as you've described it here politically. Politically. Who's the winner for that exchange come November? David, in our politics, if you're talking about the other person's issue, you're losing. So politically.

Donald Trump doesn't want to talk about abortion. If he's talking about abortion, he's losing. If Kamala Harris is talking about immigration more than a sentence or two, she's losing. That's the race right now. It's who can turn to offense and hit their points again and again and again. Susan Glasser, I always learn from talking to you every day. Thank you so much. Oh, it's great to be with you. Thank you, David. Thank you.

Susan Glasser is a Washington correspondent for The New Yorker, and she spoke with Representative Matt Rosendale of Montana's 2nd Congressional District. Susan's best-selling book about Donald Trump's presidency is called The Divider. I'm David Remnick. That's our program for today. Thanks for listening. See you next time.

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