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cover of episode The dilapidated dollar

The dilapidated dollar

2025/7/3
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Unhedged

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I
Ian Smith
K
Katie Martin
一名在《金融时报》工作的金融记者和评论员,专注于全球经济政策和市场趋势分析。
Topics
Katie Martin: 今年以来,美元经历了自1973年以来最糟糕的开局。起初,市场普遍预期美元会因美国经济的强势而走高,但实际情况却恰恰相反。投资者们开始质疑美国经济的长期增长潜力,以及美元作为全球储备货币的地位是否依然稳固。此外,特朗普政府的贸易政策也加剧了市场对美元的担忧,导致投资者纷纷寻求对冲美元风险的策略。 Ian Smith: 今年美元的疲软并非偶然,而是一系列因素共同作用的结果。首先,特朗普政府的贸易保护主义政策并未如预期般提振美元,反而引发了市场对全球经济增长的担忧。其次,投资者对美国经济的信心有所下降,开始重新评估其美元资产的配置。此外,对冲美元风险的需求增加也进一步加剧了美元的贬值压力。最后,欧元等其他货币的崛起也对美元的地位构成了挑战。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The US dollar has had its worst start to a year since 1973. This is unexpected, as many predicted a stronger dollar in 2025. The article explores the reasons behind this weakening, including the impact of tariffs, investor concerns, and currency hedging.
  • Unexpected weakening of the US dollar in 2024.
  • Contrasts with predictions of a stronger dollar.
  • Impact of tariffs on inflation and interest rates.
  • Investor concerns about US economic policy and the dollar's future role as a reserve currency.
  • Currency hedging as a contributing factor to the dollar's decline.

Shownotes Transcript

The US dollar is having its worst year since 1973. And 1973 was a really bad year. As the US takes a break to celebrate independence from the UK, Katie Martin and Ian Smith discuss the glow-down of the greenback. Also they go long forensic accountants and long aged hedge funders playing tennis. 

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You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at [email protected]).

Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy) for more information.